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AL Pitching Planner:  April 30 – May 6

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AL Pitching Planner: April 30 – May 6

Posted on 30 April 2012 by Mark Sherrard

This week’s AL pitching matchups are pretty weak.  We’ve got a few aces, a good grouping of middle-tier choices and a bunch of riksy picks.

King Felix Hernandez

As with the NL pitching planner, I am including the stats for each category for week 2, week 3 and YTD, so that everyone can follow my prognostication skills from week to week.

So, without further ado, here are the AL two-start pitchers and favorable matchups for week 5:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

Felix Hernandez – 4/30 @ TB; 5/5 vs MIN – King Felix should always be in your starting lineup

C.J. Wilson – 4/30 vs MIN; 5/5 vs TOR – the only other “proven” ace doing double-duty this week

Yu Darvish – 4/30 @ TOR; 5/6 @ CLE – looks to build off of strong outing against the Yankees

No Brainer results

Week 2 – 8 GS, 4 QS, 4 W, 49.1 IP, 74 H+BB, 32 K’s, 19 ER, 3.47 ERA, 1.50 whip

Week 3 – 9 GS, 9 QS, 7 W, 68.3 IP, 57 H+BB, 58 K’s, 10 ER, 1.32 ERA, 0.83 whip

YTD – 17 GS, 13 QS, 11 W, 117.2 IP, 131 H+BB, 90 K’s, 29 ER, 2.22 ERA, 1.11 whip

Not too shabby

Hiroki Kuroda: 4/30 vs BAL; 5/5 @ KC – gets a couple nice matchups

Jeremy Hellickson – 4/30 vs SEA; 5/5 vs OAK – the A’s are the worst hitting team in the AL

Clay Buchholz – 4/30 vs OAK; 5/6 vs BAL – if it weren’t for the A’s, I probably wouldn’t recommend him

Ubaldo Jimenez – 5/1 @ CHW; 5/6 vs TEX – the Rangers are a tough matchup, but the Sox can be beat

Matt Moore – 5/1 vs SEA; 5/6 vs OAK – the A’s should help the youngster get back on track

Chris Sale – 5/1 vs CLE; 5/6 @ DET – Sale has a career 2.69 ERA and 3.12 ERA in his first 4 starts of his career

Tommy Milone – 4/30 @ BOS; 5/6 @ TB – Milone has been impressive so far, but faces the league’s best offense

Jason Hammel – 4/30 @ NYY; 5/6 @ BOS – this is a toss-up, Hammel is pitching well but faces the best two offenses

Not too shabby results

Week 2 -8 GS, 5 QS, 5 W, 53.1 IP, 57 H+BB, 38 K’s, 17 ER, 2.87 ERA, 1.07 whip

Week 3 -16 GS, 8 QS, 6 W, 99.1 IP, 133 H+BB, 78 K’s, 47 ER, 4.26 ERA, 1.34 whip

YTD – 24 GS, 13 QS, 11 W, 152.2 IP, 190 H+BB, 116 K’s, 64 ER, 3.77 ERA, 1.24 whip

Risky at best

Phil Huges: 5/1 vs BAL; 5/6 @ KC – not the same pitcher he once was

Luke Hochevar:  4/30 @ DET; 5/5 vs NYY – tough matchups for a below-average pitcher

Hector Noesi:  5/1 @ TB; 5/6 vs MIN – has yet to put it all together

Luis Mendoza:  5/1 @ DET; 5/6 vs NYY – see Luke Hochevar

Kyle Drabek:  4/30 vs TEX; 5/5 @ LAA – the Rangers own the 3rd best offense, Drabek struggles with command

Liam Hendriks: 4/30 @ LAA; 5/6 @ SEA – nice matchups, risky pitcher

Drew Hutchison:  5/1 vs TEX; 5/6 @ LAA – 2 homers in two starts and Texas is second in the league in homers

Jerome Williams:  5/1 vs MIN; 5/6 vs TOR – veteran journeyman is the model of inconsistency

Risky at best results:

Week 2 -18 GS, 5 QS, 4 W, 97.1 IP, 144 H+BB, 64 K’s, 54 ER, 4.99 ERA, 1.48 whip

Week 3 -13 GS, 6 QS, 2 W, 67.1 IP, 113 H+BB, 55 K’s, 41 ER, 5.48 ERA, 1.68 whip

YTD – 31 GS, 11 QS, 6 W, 164.2 IP, 257 H+BB, 119 K’s, 95 ER, 5.19 ERA, 1.56 whip

Other Favorable Matchups

Ricky Romero: 5/2 vs TEX

Yes, its the high-powered Rangers, but Romero owns them to the tune of an 0.92 ERA in 4 career starts

Justin Verlander: 5/2 vs KC

There are few teams that Verlander doesn’t dominate and KC is not an exception (career 14-2, 2.37 ERA)

Jeff Niemann: 5/3 vs SEA

Niemann doesn’t dominate many teams, but he is 4-0 with a 2.87 ERA against the Mariners

Jon Lester: 5/4 vs BAL

Despite his struggles this year, Lester is a perfect 14-0 with a 2.37 ERA against the Orioles

Other favorable matchups results:

Week 2 – 4 GS, 2 QS, 1 W, 28.2 IP, 31 H+BB, 29 K’s, 12 ER, 3.77 ERA, 1.08 whip

Week 3 – 3 GS, 2 QS, 1 W, 20 IP, 27 H+BB, 17 K’s, 5 ER, 2.25 ERA, 1.35 whip

YTD – 7 GS, 4 QS, 2 W, 48.2 IP, 58 H+BB, 46 K’s, 17 ER, 3.14 ERA, 1.19 whip

Good luck and see ya next week.

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NL Pitching Planner: April 23 – April 29

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NL Pitching Planner: April 23 – April 29

Posted on 23 April 2012 by Mark Sherrard

Here we go again.  Heading into week 4, we are starting to get a better idea as to which teams possess the good offenses (St. Louis, Atlanta, Los Angeles) and which teams do not (Pittsburgh, Cincinnati and, surprisingly, the Phillies), so those of you keen on playing the matchups, take note.

Here are the two start pitchers and favorable matchups for Week 4:

Two Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

Matt Cain: 4/24 @ CIN; 4/29 vs SD – Cincinnati is struggling and SD isn’t much better

Cliff Lee: 4/23 @ ARI; 4/29 vs CHC – Lee is one of the best pitchers in the NL

Not too shabby

Mark Buehrle: 4/24 @NYM; 4/29 vs ARI – Buehrle has pitched well, just needs run support

Madison Bumgarner: 4/23 @ NYM; 4/28 vs SD – gets to face two of the weaker offenses

Chris Capuano: 4/23 vs ATL; 4/29 vs WAS – pitched well against Atlanta last year

Jaime Garcia: 4/23 @ CHC; 4/29 vs MIL – good pitcher backed by the best offense in the NL

Matt Garza: 4/23 vs STL; 4/29 @ PHI – a bit iffy as Cubs “ace” must face STL offense and Cliff Lee

Zack Greinke: 4/23 vs HOU; 4/29 @ STL – one out of two ain’t bad

Lucas Harrell: 4/23 @ MIL; 4/29 @ CIN – Two quality starts out of three for the youngster

Daniel Hudson: 4/23 vs PHI; 4/29 @ MIA – Hudson good. Phillies bad.

Jair Jurrjens: 4/23 @ LAD; 4/29 vs PIT – facing Pittsburgh may cure his ills, but beware of the Dodgers

Mat Latos: 4/24 vs SF; 4/29 vs HOU – a couple of weak offenses for the struggling righty

Jamie Moyer: 4/23 @ PIT; 4/29 vs NYM – Pittsburgh is averaging only 2.2 runs per game

Johan Santana: 4/23 vs SF; 4/28 @ COL – the Rockies offense is clicking, the Giants not so much

Jordan Zimmermann: 4/24 @ SD; 4/29 @ LAD – the Nats other ace just needs run support

Risky at best

R.A. Dickey: 4/24 vs MIA; 4/29 @ COL – has not pitched well and faces 2 of the better offenses

Clayton Richard: 4/24 vs WAS; 4/29 @ SF – has given up 18 runs (12 earned) in 18.1 IP.

Other Favorable Matchups

Roy Halladay: 4/27 vs CHC

Halladay should fare well against the AAA Cubs

Tim Lincecum: 4/27 vs SD

The Freak is 9-4 with a career 1.96 ERA against SD

Josh Johnson: 4/28 vs ARI

Johnson is 3-1 with a 1.00 ERA in his career against the Diamondbacks

Tomorrow I’ll take a look at the AL matchups.

 

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