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NL Pitching Planner: May 28 – June 3

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NL Pitching Planner: May 28 – June 3

Posted on 29 May 2012 by Mark Sherrard

We’re heading into Week 9 of the season, one third of the way home and the NL two-fers feature some quality youngsters, some lefties and at least one veteran having a comeback year.

So let’s get right to it, here are the NL two-start pitchers and favorable matchups for Week 9:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

Tommy Hanson:  5/28 vs STL; 6/3 @ WAS – he has fared well against STL (2.25 ERA) and the Nats (3.48 ERA)

Cole Hamels: 5/28 @ NYM; 6/3 vs MIA – 7-1 with a 2.17 ERA, what more do you need?

Jordan Zimmermann: 5/28 @ MIA; 6/3 vs ATL – for the Nats, pitching is not a problem

James McDonald: 5/28 vs CIN; 6/3 @ MIL – he has made a believer out of me.  Can the Pirates score any runs though?

Results

Week 6 – 10 GS, 6 QS, 6 W, 64.2 IP, 75 H+BB, 59 K’s, 19 ER, 2.64 ERA, 1.16 whip

YTD – 39 GS, 30 QS, 14 W, 263.2 IP, 281 H+BB, 242 K’s, 75 ER, 2.66 ERA, 1.11 whip

Not Too Shabby

Lance Lynn: 5/28 @ ATL; 6/3 @ NYM -  3 straight starts giving up 3 runs or more

Wandy Rodriguez: 5/28 @ COL; 6/2 vs CIN – Coors has not been kind to pitchers this year

Trevor Cahill: 5/28 @ SF; 6/3 @ SD – Cahill owns the Giants (2.16 career ERA) and the Padres can’t hit

Shaun Marcum: 5/28 @ LAD; 6/2 vs PIT – the Pirates are the only team worse than the Padres

Jonathon Niese: 5/28 vs PHI; 6/3 vs STL – has fared well against the Phillies (3.58 ERA) and Cards (2.63 ERA)

Carlos Zambrano: 5/28 vs WAS; 6/3 @ PHI – comeback kid had first poor start of season against Rockies last time out

Juan Nicasio: 5/28 vs HOU; 6/2 vs LAD – strikeout rate is up, but so is hit rate and walk rate

Aaron Harang: 5/28 vs MIL; 6/2 @ COL – Coors makes me nervous, so tread carefully

Bronson Arroyo: 5/28 @ PIT; 6/3 @ HOU – a couple favorable matchups for the Reds righty

Results

Week 6 – 33 GS, 17 QS, 7 W, 200.0 IP, 278 H+BB, 151 K’s, 102 ER, 4.59 ERA, 1.39 whip

YTD – 136 GS, 83 QS, 48 W, 844.1 IP, 1062 H+BB, 647 K’s, 337 ER, 3.59 ERA, 1.26 whip

Risky at Best

Barry Zito: 5/28 vs ARI; 6/3 vs CHC – after strong April, the wheels are starting to fall off

Jeff Suppan: 5/28 @ CHC; 6/3 vs ARI – you have to be really desperate to consider using this guy

Travis Wood: 5/28 vs SD; 6/3 @ SF – Chris Volstad‘s replacement is only marginally better

Results

Week 6 – 12 GS, 7 QS, 3 W, 66.2 IP, 96 H+BB, 50 K’s, 31 ER, 4.18 ERA, 1.44 whip

YTD – 49 GS, 27 QS, 13 @, 293.2 IP, 396 H+BB, 205 K’s, 147 ER, 4.51 ERA, 1.35 whip

Other Favorable Matchups

Going forward, I will be focusing here on pitchers who are less than 50% owned in CBS leagues (and therefore likely available on your waiver wire).

Homer Bailey (25% owned): 5/29 @ PIT

He owns a 5-0 record and 1.94 career ERA against the Pirates

Lucas Harrell (8% owned): 5/30 @ COL

Risky, I know, but Harrell shut out the Rockies over 7 innings in his first start of the year

Jeremy Guthrie (10% owned): 5/31 vs HOU

1-0 with a 2.40 ERA against Astros in his career, albeit in a small sample size (15.0 IP)

Paul Maholm (15% owned): 6/1 @ SF

2-1 with a 3.10 ERA against the Giants in his career (52.1 IP)

Results

Week 6 – 2 GS, 1 QS, 1 W, 12.0 IP, 17 H+BB, 14 K’s, 6 ER, 4.50 ERA, 1.42 whip

YTD – 20 GS, 13 QS, 12 W, 126.1 IP, 152 H+BB, 124 K’s, 42 ER, 2.99 ERA, 1.20 whip

AL is up next.

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NL Pitching Planner: April 30 – May 6

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NL Pitching Planner: April 30 – May 6

Posted on 30 April 2012 by Mark Sherrard

Pitchers are a fickle breed. One week they can dominate, the next they get shelled. Our jobs as fantasy players (and writers) is to guess which weeks they will be good. Its an educated guess, but its still just a guess.

Starting this week, I will be posting the prior results for each category of pitchers listed below, for the most recently completed week(s) and year-to-date, so you (and I) can see my track record.

Here are the two-start pitchers and those with favorable matchups for week 5 in the NL:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

Matt Cain:  5/1 vs MIA; 5/6 vs MIL – Cain is living up to his big contract so far

Cole Hamels: 5/1 @ ATL; 5/6 @ WAS – only 3 walks in 4 starts this year

Jordan Zimmermann: 5/1 vs ARI; 5/6 vs PHI – the Nats other ace has a sparkling 1.33 ERA so far

No-Brainers results

Week 2 – 6 GS, 4 QS, 2 W, 35.1 IP, 32 H+BB, 41 K’s, 11 ER, 2.80 ERA, 0.91 whip

Week 3 – 10 GS, 9 QS, 4 W, 65 IP, 79 H+BB, 60 K’s, 17 ER, 2.35 ERA, 1.22 whip

YTD – 16 GS, 13 QS, 6 W, 100.1 IP, 111 H+BB, 101 K’s, 28 ER, 2.51 ERA, 1.11 whip

Not too shabby

Bronson Arroyo:  5/1 vs CHC; 5/6 @ PIT – has pitched well and gets to face lowly Cubs and Pirates

Brandon Beachy:  5/1 vs PHI; 5/6 @ COL – only concern is his start at Coors (11.57 ERA in only start)

Mark Buehrle:  4/30 vs ARI; 5/5 @ SD – still looking for some run support

Trevor Cahill: 5/1 @ WAS; 5/6 @ NYM – has been shaky in his last two starts (4 ER apiece)

R.A. Dickey:  4/30 @ HOU; 5/6 vs ARI – solid in his last start and gets to face the punchless Astros.

James McDonald:  4/30 @ ATL; 5/5 vs CIN – flying under the radar (18% owned in CBS) despite good start (2.79 ERA)

Mike Minor:  4/30 vs PIT; 5/5 @ COL – again, beware of Coors, but has pitched well so far

Charlie Morton:  5/1 @ STL; 5/6 vs CIN – has pitched well, but two difficult matchups

Juan Nicasio:  4/30 vs LAD; 5/6 vs ATL – beware of Matt Kemp

Ricky Nolasco:  5/1 @ SF; 5/6 @ SD – below average pitcher against weak hitting teams

Jeff Samardzija: 4/30 @ PHI; 5/5 vs LAD – may finally have learned to harness his stuff (only 8 walks in 4 starts)

Joe Wieland:  4/30 vs MIL; 5/6 vs MIA – has bounced back well after rough rookie debut

Randy Wolf:  4/30 @ SD; 5/5 @ SF – favorable matchups for the veteran lefty

Vance Worley:  4/30 vs CHC; 5/5 @ WAS – last year’s surprise rookie continues to impress

Not too shabby results

Week 2 – 18 GS, 12 QS, 7 W, 109.2 IP, 125 H+BB, 78 K’s, 31 ER, 2.55 ERA, 1.14 whip

Week 3 – 22 GS, 15 QS, 8 W, 140 IP, 158 H+BB, 110 K’s, 45 ER, 2.89 ERA, 1.13 whip

YTD – 40 GS, 27 QS, 15 W, 249.2 IP, 283 H+BB, 188 K’s, 76 ER, 2.74 ERA, 1.13 whip

Risky at best

Josh Collmenter:  4/30 @ MIA; 5/5 @ NYM – may be sent to the pen

J.A. Happ:  4/30 vs NYM; 5/6 vs STL – 4.70 ERA on the season and has to face the Cardinals offense

Aaron Harang:  4/30 @ COL; 5/6 @ CHC – 5.16 ERA so far and has to go to Coors (6.08 career ERA)

Chris Volstad:  5/1 @ CIN; 5/6 vs LAD – 6.14 ERA screams stay away

Risky at best results

Week 2 – 14 GS, 6 QS, 4 W, 77.2 IP, 99 H+BB, 56 K’s, 40 ER, 4.63 ERA, 1.27 whip

Week 3 -8 GS, 5 QS, 3 W, 53.1 IP, 71 H+BB, 31 K’s, 27 ER, 4.56 ERA, 1.33 whip

YTD – 22 GS, 11 QS, 7 W, 131 IP, 170 H+BB, 87 K’s, 67 ER, 4.60 ERA, 1.30 whip

Other Favorable Matchups

Jonathon Niese:  5/1 @ HOU

Niese has pitched well so far this year and is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in his career against the Astros.

Roy Halladay: 5/2 @ ATL

Doc is 4-1 with a 1.78 ERA in his career against the Braves

Johnny Cueto: 5/4 @ PIT

Cueto is 10-3 with a 2.70 ERA against the Pirates

Johan Santana: 5/5 vs ARI

Santana owns the Diamondback to the tune of 2-0 with a minuscule 0.62 ERA against

Other favorable matchups results

Week 2 – 4 GS, 2 QS, 3 W, 23 IP, 28 H+BB, 23 K’s, 6 ER, 2.35 ERA, 1.22 whip

Week 3 – 5 GS, 3 QS, 3 W, 29.2 IP, 35 H+BB, 24 K’s, 8 ER, 2.43 ERA, 1.18 whip

YTD – 9 GS, 5 QS, 6 W, 52.2 IP, 63 H+BB, 47 K’s, 14 ER, 2.40 ERA, 1.20 whip

Up next, I’ll take a look at the AL matchups for week 5.

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