Tag Archive | "Matchups"

The More Things Change…

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The More Things Change…

Posted on 16 October 2012 by Will Emerson

…the more they stay the same. The LCS match-ups are set. Yankees-Tigers, Cardinals-Giants. Ho-hum. Now, while these are not heated rivalries and these teams do not have a ton of recent playoff history against each other, well, they are not exactly new blood. Since 2004, the span of the past eight postseasons, these four teams have combined to make six World Series appearances and ten LCS appearances. In comparison, the four teams they just bounced from the playoffs, well, they have just one appearance in that time span. No, no, not each. Combined! There have been 16 World Series slots, if you would, from 2004- 2011 and this year’s four remaining teams have all been there once and accounted for 37.5% of those slots. This includes the past two World Champions, the Giants and Cardinals who are squaring off against each other for another National League Championship and a chance for another World Championship ring. After this season is done, heck even before it is done, from 2004-2012 these four teams will have been responsible for eight of the 18 World Series slots. That will be 44% of the slots for those not quick with the arithmetic. The real question here, is why these teams have been able to do this? Sure, everyone knows the Yankees open their checkbook and make things happen, and none of these teams are considered as small market as, say, Oakland, but as we’ve seen in the past, money does not always win championships. So what is it, exactly, that brings us the same teams time and again? Well, one thing I always tend to hear is that it is simply because these teams know how to win, especially when it counts. Or, sometimes, once we reach the postseason, it is playoff experience that can take over and is what gets these team past those teams with inexperience. But how much of a factor is that really?

The argument of experience in the playoffs, or simply in big games, will almost always win out over inexperience. Sounds reasonable and in life, that should certainly be the case. If two people are interviewing for the same job, all else being equal, the person with more experience, in theory, will win out. But how much of a factor does experience really play in baseball playoffs? Sure, as mentioned above, these four teams have been in the thick of the pursuit of a World Series Championship, but did the Yankees oust the Orioles because they have more experience, or rings? Is it because they know how to win in October? Well, I do not think you can completely dismiss that point altogether, but maybe there is a bit of an overemphasis on explaining it as easily as that.

Yes, the Yankees have more playoff experience of late, and well, over the history of baseball, than the Orioles. In fact the Yankees have more World Series rings since 2000, than the Orioles have playoff appearances in that time. But this is also kind of my point. Okay, okay, experience yes, got it. But isn’t the reason the Yankees, and the other three teams remaining, have more playoff experience is because they are consistently good enough to get to the post season and win. Isn’t it more that the Yankees are just a better team than the Orioles, regardless of experience? Did anything the Orioles did in their losses count as something that would not have happened if they had experience? They took the Yankees to five games in a best-of-five series and that was more than most people probably expected. Heck, the fact they almost won the division, or even made the playoffs was more than most people expected. As they approached Game 5 the common notion amongst baseball fans, and pundits alike, was that the Yankees would win because they were at home and their experience, and the Yankee aura (yuck), would take over and get them to the ALCS. Or could it be that, generally speaking, they are overall a better team than the Orioles? Now it was an admirable fight by the Os, but it doesn’t take a rocket surgeon to see that Sabathia versus Hammel is a match-up that favors the Yankees. So, what does postseason experience matter there?

I mean, it is not as if the rules change in the postseason, right? Games are still nine regular innings, are they not?  It is still three outs per half inning, correct? Three strikes and your out, even in the postseason, right? And most importantly the team that has more runs wins and the first team to three or four wins, depending on the series, moves on. Do you think Drew Storen would have not given up the winning run and blown his save opportunity in what ended up being the last inning of the Nationals’ season, had he had more playoff experience? Probably not. Anything to that effect is of course, pointing to mostly psychological factors. The experience is about handling the pressure of the big stage and not succumbing to said pressure or intimidating crowds. But even there, doing it once, twice, or even more times, may never get rid of the jitters a player feels going into or during a playoff game. And as far as the intimidating crowd noise? The Reds, Nats and Athletics all had game fives at home, so it’s not like they ventured into hostile territory or anything. You don’t need playoff experience to know you need to win at home. I guess, this could be the biggest argument for experience playing a large role in the playoffs, since the experienced teams were all ready to go and despite the hostile environment, managed to win big games. It is a decent argument, I will grant you, but I still feel like it may have just been a case of the better team actually winning.

Now as I say that, I am sure there are people saying, “well look at the records, how can you say the better teams won?” Well, that is a kind of flimsy argument. Despite the records, I believe the Tigers are better than the Athletics. In the National League, with the exception of the Cardinals, the teams were, I thought, pretty evenly matched. I do think the Reds are a better team than the Giants and the Nationals are a better team than the Cardinals. However, these could have been two remarkably different series’ had the Reds and Nats had their aces. The Reds lost Johnny Cueto after one batter and, I’m sure we’ve all heard about the Nats’ Steven Strasburg situation plenty at this point. So if they pitch, do their teams win? Well, you can’t say for sure, but that could have been a much bigger factor than experience, who’s to say?

So, does experience play a factor when it comes down to big games and big moments in the postseason? Of course it does, and I am not arguing that or dismissing experience altogether. All I am trying to get across is that it may not be quite as big of a factor as many would like to believe. The reason the teams with experience win, I believe, is because they are generally just better teams, which is why they keep making the playoffs in the first place and gaining said experience. Yeah, if Derek Jeter was released by the Yankees and lands on say, the Indians (an extreme example, I know, but bear with me here), you don’t think that would help them more in postseason play as far as the experience he brings? Sure it would, but matched up against a better team, with equal or less experience, I still say that better team will win out, 80-85% of the time. So let’s hold off on laying so much playoff credit on experience and taking away from the fact that for the most part, the better teams are winning. And as far as experience over inexperience, ask the back-to-back AL Champion Texas Rangers, who fell apart down the stretch and lost their one game playoff, how they feel about it.

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Field Of Streams: Fantasy Baseball Pitching Options

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Field Of Streams: Fantasy Baseball Pitching Options

Posted on 16 September 2012 by Will Emerson

Welcome back to another edition of Field of Streams, your in depth look at some viable, and some not so viable, fantasy streaming options for the upcoming fantasy week. I do apologize, I seemed to forget about rotisserie players last week, as they are still looking for pitching options down the stretch if they have innings to spare. So without further ado, on with the show! Here comes your look at your fantasy streaming options, owned in less than 50% in ESPN and Yahoo! leagues, for the week of 9/17-9/23 (all stats and information are prior to Saturday’s games):

Jose Quintana (CWS)- Since Quintana burst onto the scene this year, I have found him intriguing, yet overrated. His 6-4 record with a 3.52 ERA and 1.26 WHIP, is eye catching sure, but the 5.28 K/9, .291 BABIP and 4.03 FIP have pointed to a bit of a regression. A regression like the 8.00 ERA and 1.78 WHIP he is sporting this month. Ironically, his BABIP is .444 this month and his xFIP is 3.41, which means he is actually now pitching better, but posting worse fantasy numbers. Weird, right? He has the Tigers and Angels this week, no easy matchups by any stretch of the imagination. His last start was against the Tigers and he pitched fairly well. Quintana tossed 7.2 innings with an earned run, seven strikeouts, seven hits and two walks in a winning effort. Quintana is still a mystery to me at this point, and I just am not completely sold on him. The two starts are enticing, but I am very hesitant to recommend him this week against the Tigers and Angels. I still say steer clear of JQ. (14.6% owned in ESPN and 19% in Yahoo!)

Alex Cobb (TB)- Still sticking with Cobb, although on the surface his last start against the Orioles was not great. Overall Cobb has been solid and although he did not make it out of the 5th against the Os, he did not end up with the worst line imaginable. He threw 4.2 innings, giving up seven hits and two earned runs, two walks and six strikeouts. Alex also managed to have a 64.3% ground ball rate, an xFIP of 1.81 and a BABIP of .500 in that start, so he may have been just a tad bit unlucky. He looks to have the Jays and Red Sox at home this week. Both of those offenses have been up and down as of late and according to Bobby Valentine the Red Sox are also throwing out the weakest September lineup in their history, or something to that extent. I say go with Cobb to help capture you that elusive fantasy championship! (11.5% owned in ESPN and 18% in Yahoo!)

Kevin Correia (PIT)- There is not a lot that points to Correia being a great fantasy option at this point, this is for sure. A 4.29 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and a K/9 around four is not great. He is on the road twice this week and his road numbers are even worse. Correia’s road ERA is 4.75 and his WHIP is 1.47 and that is with a .266 BABIP. So why is he even in this article, you may ask? Well his two starts this week are against the Cubs and Astros, two of the worst hitting teams in the National League. This is no lock however, as these are still road starts in parks that are not pitcher friendly. There is a decent shot at wins, so this is really the wild card pick of the week. If you are close in the pitching categories, it is still a shaky, or turbulent, stream, but if you are just looking to chase wins or literally a few strikeouts, that second start may be worth a shot. (1.3% owned in ESPN and 3% in Yahoo!)

Marco Estrada (MIL)- It’s as if no one is taking me seriously, that spots on the “Ponch” Estrada bandwagon will be filling up fast! Estrada has been solid since entering the Brewers rotation and his last outing was no different. Against the Bravos, he tossed 6.2 scoreless innings, allowing just four hits, walking one and striking out six. This week is a two start week for “Ponch” so go ahead and grab him, as he could be a big difference maker for you. (19.2% owned in ESPN and 20% in Yahoo!)

John Lannan (WAS)- Good ol’ John Lannan is back in the rotation with Stephen Strasburg shut down for the regular season. Lannan has never been flashy, but can tend to get the job done and could provide a much needed solid start for you. His last start, albeit against the Mets, was darned decent! Johnboy threw 5.2 scoreless innings allowing only five hits and one free pass. Now he is not gonna provide a ton of strikeouts, but he could get a quality start against the Dodgers this week. (1.6% owned in ESPN and 3% in Yahoo!)

Ross Detwiler (WAS)- Another appearance in Field of Streams for Detwiler. Ross continues to get things done for the Nationals. His xFIP and low K-rate do seem to point to some regression, but against the Dodgers in this upcoming week, I would expect a start similar to his last outing against the Braves. In that outing he threw six strong innings, allowing only one earned run, allowing seven hits and one free pass, while striking out five. Go ahead and stream him this week, I say! (37.8% owned in ESPN and 38% in Yahoo!)

Andrew Cashner (SD)- Now I recommended Andrew Cashner last week and the Rockies knocked him around pretty good. Nevertheless, I still stand by Cash Money at the Giants next week. As a starter he still has a K/9 over ten, and his WHIP is 1.14, with an xFIP of 2.41. So that clunker against Rockies should be an anomaly and throwing in San Fran against an inconsistent Giants lineup should be good for him. Cash in on Cashner (sorry, could not help myself) this week and if he throws another clunker I will not recommend him again this season. (10.6% owned in ESPN and 13% in Yahoo!)

Andrew Werner (SD)- Apparently any Andrew in the Padres rotation makes it into Field of Streams. But with Werner, why would he not be on your radar? Four starts, and in each he has gone at least six innings, exactly six in three of those starts, and allowed no more than two earned or unearned runs in any of those starts. He is rocking a 8.51 K/9 and his xFIP is 3.41 so while a modest regression is on the horizon I still feel safe recommending the kid at the Giants this week. (7.5% owned in ESPN and 11% in Yahoo!)

Joe Kelly (STL)- I am not completely sold on Kelly’s overall value now or for the future, but he has that Cardinals pitching magic working for him. The 3.60 ERA looks good, but with a FIP over four, a K/9 of 6.21, a WHIP of 1.41 and a BB/9 over three his ERA will rise at some point, but not this week friends! This week he has the Astros and unless you live under a rock or don’t follow baseball, which would make it weird that you are reading this, you know Houston does not have anything close to a good offense. Stream Kelly this week and take advantage of this matchup. (4% owned in ESPN and 6% in Yahoo!)

So there you have it, another edition of Field Of Streams in the books! So what did we learn this week, children? 1) Andrews in the Padres rotation are good to go B) Ks/9 are the bee’s knees 4) “Ponch” Estrada is still the cat’s pajamas; spots on his bandwagon will be going fast and F) there is still time to cash in on Cashner while you can! Good day and godspeed!

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AL Pitching Planner: June 11 – June 17

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AL Pitching Planner: June 11 – June 17

Posted on 11 June 2012 by Mark Sherrard

This week’s AL pitching planner features a lot of decent options and only a couple risky ones.  Plus, the AL usually fares better in interleague play, so you have a better chance of avoiding blowups.

Here are the two-start pitchers and other favorable matchups for Week 11 for the AL:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

Brandon Morrow:  6/11 vs WAS; 6/17 vs PHI – any pitcher with a sub-3.00 ERA in the AL is a must-start

Colby Lewis: 6/12 vs ARI; 6/17 vs HOU – only 4-5, despite a 3.38 ERA and the league’s best offense behind him

Wei-Yin Chen:  6/12 vs PIT; 6/17 @ ATL – a 3.49 ERA and a match up vs the majors worst offense make him a no-brainer

Results

Week 9 – 3 GS, 0 QS, 0 W, 17.1 IP, 38 H+BB, 13 K’s, 14 ER, 7.27 ERA, 2.19 whip

YTD – 52 GS, 34 QS, 28 W, 343.1 IP, 433 H+BB, 290 K’s, 129 ER, 3.38 ERA, 1.26 whip

Not Too Shabby

Josh Beckett: 6/11 @ MIA; 6/17 @ CHC – don’t look now, but he has a 2.21 ERA over his last 5 starts

Ivan Nova: 6/11 @ ATL; 6/17 @ WAS – has struggled this year, but threw 8 innings of one run ball last time out

Bartolo Colon:  6/12 @ COL; 6/17 vs SD – pitched well in his only previous start at Coors

Felipe Paulino: 6/12 vs MIL; 6/17 @ STL – Is this his breakout year? 1.67 ERA so far this year.

Jeanmar Gomez: 6/12 @ CIN; 6/17 vs PIT – 4.97 ERA makes him a risk, but start against Pirates lessens that some

Alex Cobb: 6/12 vs NYM; 6/17 vs MIA – has posted a 3.64 ERA in 13 career major league starts

Garrett Richards: 6/11 @ LAD; 6/17 vs ARI – was spectacular last time out (1 ER in 7 IP)

Results

Week 9 – 18 GS, 11 QS, 10 W, 109.0 IP, 136 H+BB, 98 K’s, 48 ER, 3.96 ERA, 1.25 whip

YTD – 149 GS, 86 QS, 64 W, 913.0 IP, 1208 H+BB, 682 K’s, 407 ER, 4.01 ERA, 1.32 whip

Risky at Best

Max Scherzer: 6/12 @ CHC; 6/17 vs COL – 80 K’s in 64.1 IP, but 13 HR’s allowed have been his undoing

Nick Blackburn: 6/12 vs PHI; 6/17 vs MIL – nothing to see here, please move on

Results

Week 9 – 7 GS, 2 QS, 3 W, 32.1 IP, 51 H+BB, 24 K’s, 20 ER, 5.57 ERA, 1.58 whip

YTD – 75 GS, 30 QS, 20 W, 405.2 IP, 612 H+BB, 275 K’s, 247 ER, 5.48 ERA, 1.51 whip

Other Favorable Matchups (<50% owned)

Brian Matusz (36% owned): 6/13 vs PIT

Matusz has never faced the Pirates before, but the Pirates are last in the majors in runs scored, so he’s worth a shot

Kevin Millwood (17% owned): 6/14 vs SD

He just threw 6 no-hit innings and he is 8-2 with a 3.27 ERA against the Padres, but make sure he’s healthy

Josh Tomlin (10% owned): 6/14 @ CIN

Won his only game against the Reds, allowing one run on just 3 hits in 7 IP

Drew Hutchison (26% owned): 6/15 vs PHI

Has a 3.50 ERA with a 17/4 K/BB ratio over his last 3 starts

Results

Week 9 – 5 GS, 1 QS, 1 W, 28.2 IP, 48 H+BB, 15 K’s, 20 ER, 6.28 ERA, 1.67 whip

YTD – 26 GS, 13 QS, 7 W, 168.0 IP, 220 H+BB, 136 K’s, 73 ER, 3.91 ERA, 1.31 whip

See ya next week.

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NL Pitching Planner: May 21 – 27

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NL Pitching Planner: May 21 – 27

Posted on 17 May 2012 by Mark Sherrard

After a little bit of inter-league play, its back to a NL and AL only schedule this week.

Here are the NL two-start pitchers and other favorable matchups for week 8:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

Roy Halladay:  5/22 vs WAS; 5/27 @ STL – only one hiccup this year (8 ER in 5.1 IP vs ATL), no more than 3 ER in all other starts

Matt Cain:  5/22 @ MIL; 5/27 @ MIA – the real Giants ace.  If only they could score some runs.

Gio Gonzalez: 5/21 @ PHI; 5/27 @ ATL – rough 1st start of season, but no more than 3 ER allowed in any start since

Brandon Beachy: 5/22 @ CIN; 5/27 vs WAS – has not given up more than 2 ER in ANY start, including shutout last start

Johan Santana: 5/21 @ PIT; 5/26 vs SD – normally not a no-brainer, but gets to face the two worst hitting teams in NL

Results

Week 6 – 6 GS, 4 QS, 1 W, 41.0 IP, 40 H+BB, 40 K’s, 12 ER, 2.63 ERA, 0.98 whip

YTD – 29 GS, 24 QS, 8 W, 189.0 IP, 206 H+BB, 183 K’s, 56 ER, 2.67 ERA, 1.09 whip

Not Too Shabby

Madison Bumgarner: 5/21 @ MIL; 5/26 @ MIA – despite a couple rough starts (4 ER apiece), still reliable

Matt Garza: 5/21 @ HOU; 5/27 @ PIT – a couple nice matchups for the Cubs ace

Chris Capuano: 5/21 @ ARI; 5/27 vs HOU – got roughed up a little by SD, but still a pretty safe bet

Adam Wainwright: 5/22 vs SD; 5/27 vs PHI – you may want to wait until he strings some good starts together

Mat Latos:  5/22 vs ATL; 5/27 vs COL – still a little iffy, but seems to be getting back on track

Jaime Garcia: 5/21 vs SD; 5/26 vs PHI – giving up a few more baserunners than usual, but has limited the damage

Mark Buehrle: 5/21 vs COL; 5/26 vs SF – does not strike out many, but keeps the ball in the park

Edinson Volquez: 5/22 @ STL; 5/27 @ NYM – has not given up more than 3 ER in any of his last 5 starts

Bud Norris: 5/21 vs CHC; 5/27 @ LAD – gets to face Kemp-less Dodgers and a weak Cubs team

Ricky Nolasco: 5/22 vs COL; 5/27 vs SF – got roughed up by Mets last time out, but still pitching well

R.A. Dickey: 5/22 @ PIT; 5/27 vs SD – knuckleballers seem to get better with age

Erik Bedard: 5/21 vs NYM; 5/27 vs CHC – already the subject of trade rumors, maybe he’ll go to a team that can score

Clayton Richard: 5/21 @ STL; 5/26 @ NYM – an iffy pick, but pitched well last time out

Results

Week 6 – 16 GS, 8 QS, 7 W, 96.2 IP, 119 H+BB; 82 K’s, 40 ER, 3.72 ERA, 1.23 whip

YTD – 103 GS, 66 QS, 41 W, 644.1 IP, 784 H+BB, 496 K’s, 235 ER, 3.28 ERA, 1.22 whip

Risky At Best

Kyle Kendrick: 5/21 vs WAS; 5/26 @ STL – filling in for Vance Worley, best to avoid

Mike Minor:  5/21 @ CIN; 5/26 vs WAS – going through a rough patch

Randy Wolf: 5/21 vs SF; 5/27 @ ARI – 6.38 ERA and 1.80 whip on the season, let someone else take a chance

Mike Leake: 5/21 vs ATL; 5/26 vs COL – one good start is not enough to convince me

Patrick Corbin: 5/21 vs LAD; 5/27 vs MIL – only good start came against the light hitting Giants

Jamie Moyer: 5/21 @ MIA; 5/27 @ CIN – despite 4.20 ERA, he’s too hittable for my taste (1.60 whip)

Results

Week 6 – 6 GS, 5 QS, 1 W, 38.2 IP, 49 H+BB, 28 K’s, 18 ER, 4.19 ERA, 1.27 whip

YTD – 37 GS, 20 QS, 10 W, 227.0 IP, 300 H+BB, 155 K’s, 116 ER, 4.60 ERA, 1.32 whip

Other Favorable Matchups

Cole Hamels: 5/23 vs WAS

Hamels is 11-4 with a 2.62 ERA against the Nats

Anibal Sanchez: 5/24 vs SF

Sanchez has gone 2-0 with an 0.75 ERA in 24 IP against the Giants

Tim Hudson: 5/25 vs WAS

14-3 with a 2.03 ERA in his career against the Nats

Yovani Gallardo: 5/25 @ ARI

5-0 with a 1.20 ERA against the Diamondbacks

Results

Week 6 – 4 GS, 4 QS, 2 W, 27.0 IP, 24 H+BB, 36 K’s, 5 ER, 1.67 ERA, 0.89 whip

YTD – 18 GS, 12 QS, 11 W, 114.1 IP, 135 H+BB, 110 K’s, 36 ER, 2.83 ERA, 1.18 whip

Next up is the AL.

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AL Pitching Planner: May 14 – May 20

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AL Pitching Planner: May 14 – May 20

Posted on 13 May 2012 by Mark Sherrard

Like their NL counterparts, the AL also has a full slate of games for all its teams, giving you numerous two-start choices for the week.

Here are the Week 7 two-start pitchers and favorable matchups:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

C.C. Sabathia: 5/15 @ BAL; 5/20 vs CIN – he’s 16-2 with a 2.86 ERA against the Orioles and 4-1 and 2.33 against the Reds.  Oh, and he’s an ace.

David Price: 5/15 @ TOR; 5/20 vs ATL – Tampa ace is pitching well, despite hiccup against the Yankees

Jake Peavy: 5/15 vs DET; 5/20 @ CHC – starting to remind many of the Peavy of old

No-brainers results

Week 5 – 6 GS, 6 QS, 4 W, 44.1 IP, 43 H+BB, 51 K’s, 10 ER, 2.03 ERA, 0.97 whip

YTD – 29 GS, 22 QS, 18 W, 204.1 IP, 227 H+BB, 173 K’s, 58 ER, 2.56 ERA, 1.11 whip

Not Too Shabby

Jon Lester: 5/14 vs SEA; 5/19 @ PHI – Phillies are struggling without Chase Utley & Ryan Howard, Mariners still can’t hit

Dan Haren: 5/14 vs OAK; 5/19 @ SD – back troubles may push back his 5/14 start, but has two good matchups if he goes

Brandon Morrow: 5/14 vs TB; 5/19 vs NYM – has won 4 straight

Ervin Santana: 5/15 vs OAK; 5/20 @ SD – two weak teams against a good starter

Josh Beckett: 5/15 vs SEA; 5/20 @ PHI – only two good matchups keep him from being dropped a level

Max Scherzer: 5/15 @ CHW; 5/20 vs PIT – two straight quality starts and two favorable matchups

Colby Lewis: 5/15 vs KC; 5/20 @ HOU – amazing 43/6 K/BB ratio

John Danks: 5/14 vs DET; 5/19 @ CHC – pitched well last time out and has a favorable matchup against the Cubs

Ivan Nova: 5/14 @ BAL; 5/19 vs CIN – has been inconsistent so far this year, but has strong offense behind him

Henderson Alvarez:  5/15 vs TB; 5/20 vs NYM – 2.61 ERA despite just 14 K’s in 48.1 IP

Jason Vargas: 5/15 @ BOS; 5/20 @ COL – tough matchups including a trip to Coors, but only 2 ER in last two starts

Jeff Niemann: 5/14 @ TOR; 5/19 vs ATL – pitching well, just needs some more run support

Wei-Yin Chen: 5/15 vs NYY; 5/20 @ WAS – 3-0 with a 2.68 ERA so far this year

Derek Lowe: 5/15 @ MIN; 5/20 vs MIA – 5-1 with a 2.47 ERA despite an unsightly 1.51 whip–sinker must be working

Bartolo Colon: 5/15 @ LAA; 5/20 @ SF – old man river just keeps on rolling

Jeanmar Gomez: 5/14 @ MIN; 5/19 vs MIA – only one bad start this year, unfortunately it was his last one

Jason Hammel:  5/14 vs NYY; 5/19 @ WAS – is this the year he finally puts it all together?

Drew Smyly: 5/14 @ CHW; 5/19 vs PIT – only 1 win despite a 1.59 ERA

Not too shabby results:

Week 5 – 15 GS, 6 QS, 7 W, 82.0 IP, 124 H+BB; 63 K’s, 47 ER, 5.16 ERA, 1.51 whip

YTD – 63 GS, 38 QS, 28 W, 391.0 IP, 497 H+BB, 282 K’s, 161 ER, 3.71 ERA, 1.27 whip

Risky at Best

Carl Pavano: 5/14 vs CLE; 5/19 @ MIL – they don’t call them the decline years for nothing

Bruce Chen: 5/15 @ TEX; 5/20 vs ARI – how many times are you allowed to intentionally walk Josh Hamilton?

Kevin Millwood: 5/14 @ BOS; 5/19 @ COL – 37 year pitcher in decline with two bad matchups, stay away

Jason Marquis: 5/15 vs CLE; 5/20 @ MIL – unless you want to obliterate your ERA and whip, stay away

Risky at best results

Week 5 – 14 GS, 5 QS, 4 W, 76.1 IP, 115 H+BB, 56 K’s, 53 ER, 6.25 ERA, 1.51 whip

YTD – 49 GS, 19 QS, 12 W, 266.1 IP, 403 H+BB, 184 K’s, 159 ER, 5.37 ERA, 1.51 whip

Other Favorable Matchups

Rick Porcello: 5/16 vs MIN

6-4 with a 2.86 ERA in his career against the Twins

Derek Holland: 5/16 vs OAK

3-1 with a 1.91 ERA against the A’s and they are even worse this year

C.J. Wilson: 5/17 vs CHW

3-0 with a 2.92 ERA against the White Sox

Joe Saunders: 5/18 @ KC

4-0 with a 2.57 ERA against the Royals

Cole Hamels: 5/18 vs BOS

3-0 with a 1.44 ERA against the Red Sox

Other favorable matchups results

Week 5 – 4 GS, 2 QS, 2 W, 27.2 IP, 33 H+BB, 20 K’s, 13 ER, 4.23 ERA, 1.19 whip

YTD – 13 GS, 8 QS, 5 W, 90.1 IP, 106 H+BB, 79 K’s, 33 ER, 3.29 ERA, 1.17 whip

That’s all for this week.  Until next week, let the pitching Gods be with you.

 

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