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AL Pitching Planner: June 18 – June 24

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AL Pitching Planner: June 18 – June 24

Posted on 18 June 2012 by Mark Sherrard

This week’s AL two-start hurlers feature a pair of lefty aces, a handful of decent options and not much else.

Here are the AL two-start pitchers and other favorable matchups for Week 12:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

C.C. Sabathia:  6/18 vs ATL; 6/24 @ NYM – His numbers aren’t as strong as last year, but still one of the best in the AL

David Price: 6/19 @ WAS; 6/24 @ PHI – gave up 7 ER in just 5 IP last time out, but still a must start

Results

Week 10 -4 GS, 2 QS, 2 W, 22.1 IP, 35 H+BB, 12 K’s, 12 ER, 4.84 ERA, 1.57 whip

YTD – 56 GS, 36 QS, 30 W, 365.2 IP, 468 H+BB, 302 K’s, 141 ER, 3.47 ERA, 1.28 whip

Not Too Shabby

Clay Buchholz: 6/19 vs MIA; 6/24 vs ATL – seems to be rolling with 4 straight starts of 7+ IP and 2 or fewer ER

Matt Harrison: 6/18 @ SD; 6/24 vs COL – 4-0 with a 1.42 ERA in last 5 starts and gets two favorable matchups to boot

Jake Peavy: 6/18 vs CHC; 6/24 vs MIL – has given up more than 3 ER only twice in his 13 starts

Tommy Milone: 6/19 vs LAD; 6/24 vs SF – a couple rough outings hasn’t scared me off, yet

Jerome Williams: 6/18 vs SF; 6/24 vs LAD – 3.84 ERA as a starter this year (11 starts)

Scott Diamond: 6/19 @ PIT; 6/24 @ CIN – has an excellent 29/6 K/BB ratio to go along with 2.13 ERA

Results

Week 10 – 17 GS, 5 QS, 5 W, 93.0 IP, 145 H+BB, 89 K’s, 66 ER, 6.39 ERA, 1.56 whip

YTD – 166 GS, 91 QS, 69 W, 1006.0 IP, 1353 H+BB, 771 K’s, 473 ER, 4.23 ERA, 1.34 whip

Risky at Best

Rick Porcello: 6/19 vs STL; 6/24 @ PIT – has a 5.18 ERA and won’t give you wins (just 4) or K’s (only 44)

Jonathan Sanchez: 6/18 @ HOU; 6/24 vs STL – occasional flashes of brilliance are overshadowed by poor outings

Jake Arrieta: 6/18 @ NYM; 6/24 vs WAS – could be good someday, just not there yet

Hector Noesi: 6/18 vs ARI; 6/24 @ SD – maybe Petco can help him keep the ball in the park (15 HR’s allowed), but I wouldn’t bet on it

Results

Week 10 – 6 GS, 2 QS, 2 W, 32.2 IP, 47 H+BB, 25 K’s, 21 ER, 5.79 ERA, 1.44 whip

YTD – 81 GS, 32 QS, 22 W, 438.1 IP, 659 H+BB, 300 K’s, 268 ER, 5.50 ERA, 1.50 whip

Other Favorable Matchups (<50% owned)

Vin Mazzaro (3% owned):  6/20 @ HOU

Has a 1.80 ERA in last 3 starts (2.57 on the season) and faces the Astros and Jordan Lyles

Kevin Millwood (18% owned): 6/21 @ SD

Has a 1.98 ERA on the season and gets to pitch in Petco

Jose Quintana (6% owned): 6/22 vs MIL

Also has a 1.98 ERA on the season and a strong minor league track record

Results

Week 10 -4 GS, 0 QS, 0 W, 20.2 IP, 38 H+BB, 14 K’s, 23 ER, 10.02 ERA, 1.84 whip

YTD -30 GS, 13 QS, 7 W, 188.2 IP, 258 H+BB, 149 K’s, 96 ER, 4.58 ERA, 1.37 whip

See ya next week.

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AL Pitching Planner: June 4 – June 10

Posted on 04 June 2012 by Mark Sherrard

Like their NL counterparts, the AL Week 10 two-start matchups are weak at the top, however, they are also weak in the middle, showing the lack of quality pitching depth in the AL.

Here are the Two-start pitchers and other favorable matchups for Week 10 in the AL:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

James Shields: 6/5 @ NYY; 6/10 @ MIA

Ricky Romero: 6/5 @ CHW; 6/10 @ ATL

I’m not sure either of these guys are “no-brainers”, but I needed to put someone in this category

Results

Week 8 – 6 GS, 3 QS, 4 W, 37.0 IP, 46 H+BB, 34 K’s, 14 ER, 3.41 ERA, 1.24 whip

YTD – 49 GS, 34 QS, 28 W, 326.0 IP, 395 H+BB, 277 K’s, 115 ER, 3.18 ERA, 1.21 whip

Not Too Shabby

Jon Lester: 6/5 vs BAL; 6/10 vs WAS – not pitching up to previous years’ standards, but still a pretty safe bet

Ervin Santana: 6/4 vs SEA; 6/10 @ COL – 15 HR’s allowed in 11 starts and has to go to Coors, be careful

Derek Holland: 6/5 @ OAK; 6/10 @ SF – Giants and A’s can help struggling pitchers get back on track

Jason Vargas: 6/4 @ LAA; 6/10 vs LAD – maybe this guy is your no-brainer, if only he had more K’s

Philip Humber: 6/5 vs TOR; 6/10 vs HOU – has been maddeningly inconsistent

Jarrod Parker: 6/4 vs TEX; 6/9 @ ARI – shows a lot of promise for a rookie

Andy Pettitte: 6/5 vs TB; 6/10 vs NYM – he’s back

Drew Smyly: 6/5 vs CLE; 6/10 @ CIN – pitches well but gets little run support

Scott Feldman: 6/4 @ OAK; 6/9 @ SF – will eventually lost job to Roy Oswalt, but has some nice matchups this week

Results

Week 8 – 16 GS, 10 QS, 6 W, 95.2 IP, 148 H+BB, 62 K’s, 49 ER, 4.61 ERA, 1.55 whip

YTD – 131 GS, 75 QS, 54 W, 804.0 IP, 1072 H+BB, 584 K’s, 359 ER, 4.02 ERA, 1.33 whip

Risky at Best

Ubaldo Jimenez: 6/5 @ DET; 6/10 @ STL – leads the league in walks allowed

Will Smith: 6/4 vs MIN; 6/10 @ PIT – has allowed 3 HR’s in first two major league starts

Travis Blackley: 6/5 vs TEX; 6/10 @ ARI – don’t be fooled by one good start…

Cole De Vries: 6/4 @ KC; 6/10 vs CHC – …or two good starts

Results

Week 8 – 7 GS, 4 QS, 1 W, 44.1 IP, 62 H+BB, 23 K’s, 28 ER, 5.68 ERA, 1.40 whip

YTD – 68 GS, 28 QS, 17 W, 373.1 IP, 561 H+BB, 251 K’s, 227 ER, 5.47 ERA, 1.50 whip

Other Favorable Matchups

Again, the focus here is on pitchers less than 50% owned in CBS leagues, with favorable matchups for the week

Blake Beavan (7% owned): 6/5 @ LAA

Surprisingly owns a career 1-0 record and 2.86 ERA against the Angles

Jerome Williams (42% owned): 6/6 vs SEA

3-0 with a 3.43 ERA against the Mariners in his career

Derek Lowe (50% owned): 6/7 @ DET

Right on the threshold, but owns a career 7-2 mark against the Tigers with a 1.87 ERA

P.J. Walters (14% owned): 6/8 vs CHC

3.72 career ERA against the Cubs and helped by a weaker 2012 version of them

Results

Week 8 – 2 GS, 2 QS, 0 W, 13.2 IP, 14 H+BB, 9 K’s, 5 ER, 3.29 ERA, 1.02 whip

YTD – 21 GS, 12 QS, 6 W, 139.1 IP, 172 H+BB, 120 K’s, 53 ER, 3.42 ERA, 1.23 whip

Good luck and see ya next week

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AL Pitching Planner: May 28 – June 3

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AL Pitching Planner: May 28 – June 3

Posted on 29 May 2012 by Mark Sherrard

This week’s AL two-starters features the reigning Cy Young/MVP as well as Detroit’s other ace.

Here are the AL two-start pitchers and other favorable matchups for Week 9:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

Justin Verlander: 5/29 @ BOS; 6/3 vs NYY – Verlander is a must-start in all leagues, even when facing these guys

Jered Weaver: 5/28 vs NYY; 6/3 vs TEX – had one bad start after his no-hitter and that was against Texas

Doug Fister: 5/28 @ BOS; 6/2 vs NYY – still looking for his first win despite a 1.84 ERA

Results

Week 6 – 6 GS, 4 QS, 2 W, 38.2 IP, 54 H+BB, 36 K’s, 17 ER, 3.96 ERA, 1.40 whip

YTD – 43 GS, 31 QS, 24 W, 289.0 IP, 349 H+BB, 243 K’s, 101 ER, 3.15 ERA, 1.21 whip

Not Too Shabby

Matt Moore: 5/28 vs CHW; 6/3 vs BAL – hasn’t lived up to the hype, but has only given up more than 3 ER twice

Phil Hughes: 5/28 vs LAA; 6/3 @ DET – seems to have turned things around in May (3.45 ERA)

Matt Harrison: 5/28 vs SEA; 6/3 @ LAA – pitched well last time out versus Mariners

Chris Sale: 5/28 @ TB; 6/3 vs SEA – on a roll (1.85 ERA in May) and gets to face the Mariners

Daniel Bard: 5/29 vs DET; 6/3 @ TOR – walks are hurting him lately (5.96 BB/9 in May), so be careful

Felix Doubront: 5/28 vs DET; 6/2 @ TOR – has been pretty consistent so far (4.09 ERA in April, 3.86 in May)

Jake Arrieta: 5/28 @ TOR; 6/3 @ TB – has an excellent 3.31 K/BB ratio, needs to cut down on HR’s allowed

Kevin Millwood: 5/28 @ TEX; 6/3 @ CHW – 3 straight quality starts for the 37 year old

Scott Diamond: 5/28 vs OAK; 6/3 @ CLE – has been a pleasant surprise so far, with a 17/3 K/BB ratio

Results

Week 6 – 36 GS, 18 QS, 15 W, 219.1 IP, 284 H+BB, 169 K’s, 91 ER, 3.73 ERA, 1.29 whip

YTD – 115 GS, 65 QS, 48 W, 708.1 IP, 924 H+BB, 522 K’s, 310 ER, 3.94 ERA, 1.30 whip

Risky at Best

Drew Hutchison: 5/28 vs BAL; 6/3 vs BOS – got knocked around last time out and faces two good hitting teams

Nathan Adcock: 5/28 @ CLE; 6/3 vs OAK – minor league numbers don’t foretell sucess

Josh Tomlin: 5/28 vs KC; 6/3 vs MIN – coming off wrist injury, needs to prove he’s healthy

Graham Godfrey: 5/28 @ MIN; 6/3 @ KC – there haven’t been very many positives so far in his major league career

Results

Week 6 – 5 GS, 3 QS, 1 W, 28.2 IP, 40 H+BB, 20 K’s, 16 ER, 5.02 ERA, 1.40 whip

YTD – 61 GS, 24 QS, 16 W, 329.0 IP, 499 H+BB, 228 K’s, 199 ER, 5.44 ERA, 1.52 whip

Other Favorable Matchups

As with the NL, I am going to be focusing on AL pitchers owned less than 50% in CBS leagues with favorable matchup for the week (for those of you who utilize “streaming”).

Jeanmar Gomez (14% owned): 5/30 vs KC

He’s 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA against the Royals in his career and 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in his last 3.

Blake Beavan (7% owned): 5/30 @ TEX

Beavan has a career 1.71 ERA against his home state team

Henderson Alvarez (49% owned): 6/1 vs BOS

Just under the threshold at 49%, Alvarez has given up only 1 ER in 12 IP against the Red Sox

P.J. Walters (10% owned): 6/1 @ CLE

Has never faced the Indians, which may work to his advantage.  Is a surprising 2-1 with a 2.95 ERA on the season.

Tommy Milone (49% owned): 6/1 @ KC

Milone shut the Royals out over 8 IP the last time he faced them and is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA on the season.

Results

Week 6 – 2 GS, 0 QS, 0 W, 8.2 IP, 17 H+BB, 9 K’s, 6 ER, 6.23 ERA, 1.96 whip

YTD – 19 GS, 10 QS, 6 W, 125.2 IP, 158 H+BB, 111 K’s, 48 ER, 3.44 ERA, 1.26 whip

See ya next week.

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AL Pitching Planner: May 7 – May 13

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AL Pitching Planner: May 7 – May 13

Posted on 06 May 2012 by Mark Sherrard

This week’s AL pitching lineup features two starts from the reigning CY Young/MVP, as well as a bunch of risky pitchers.

Here are the two-start pitchers and other favorable matchups for Week 6:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

Justin Verlander: 5/7 @ SEA; 5/12 @ OAK – I told you these were no-brainers

Jered Weaver: 5/7 @ MIN; 5/13 @ TEX – how will he follow-up his no hitter?

James Shields: 5/8 @ NYY; 5/13 @ BAL – Shields is 5-0, but faces a couple tough matchups

Ricky Romero: 5/8 @ OAK; 5/13 @ MIN – Facing the AL’s two worst offenses, Romero could quickly be 6-0

No-brainers results

Week 4 – 6 GS, 3 QS, 3 W, 42.1 IP, 53 H+BB, 32 K’s, 19 ER, 4.04 ERA, 1.25 whip

YTD – 23 GS, 16 QS, 14 W, 160.0 IP, 184 H+BB, 122 K’s, 48 ER, 2.70 ERA, 1.15 whip

Not Too Shabby

John Danks: 5/7 @ CLE; 5/13 vs KC – Danks has struggled a little, but has a couple favorable matchups

Neftali Feliz: 5/7 @ BAL; 5/12 vs LAA – Feliz has transitioned well to the starting role

Ivan Nova: 5/8 vs TB; 5/13 vs SEA – despite high ERA (5.58), he is 3-1 and has a 28/9 K/BB ratio

Matt Harrison: 5/8 @ BAL; 5/13 vs LAA – has had a couple bad starts in a row, but stick with him

Daniel Bard: 5/8 @ KC; 5/13 vs CLE – has adapted well to starting, just needs to cut down on the walks some

Jake Arrieta: 5/8 vs TEX; 5/13 vs TB – these are the kind of matchups that separate the men from the boys

Philip Humber: 5/7 @ CLE; 5/12 vs KC – Humber perfect game shows his stuff is good, but he is still a bit inconsistent

Jarrod Parker: 5/8 vs TOR; 5/13 vs DET – rookie has pitched well in first two starts, can he keep it up?

Duane Below:  5/8 vs SEA; 5/13 vs OAK – has not given up a run this year and faces the two worst offenses

Justin Masterson: 5/8 vs CHW; 5/13 @ BOS – only one really bad outing so far, but beware of the Red Sox

Not to shabby results

Week 4 – 24 GS, 19 QS, 10 W, 156.1 IP, 183 H+BB, 103 K’s, 50 ER, 2.88 ERA, 1.17 whip

YTD – 48 GS, 32 QS, 21 W, 309.0 IP, 373 H+BB, 219 K’s, 114 ER, 3.32 ERA, 1.21 whip

Risky At Best

Francisco Liriano: 5/7 vs LAA; 5/12 vs TOR – former future ace has fallen flat and can no longer be recommended

Jonathan Sancez: 5/7 vs BOS; 5/13 @ CHW – 19 walks in 22.1 IP so far.  Avoid until he can find the plate.

Brian Matusz: 5/7 vs TEX; 5/12 vs TB – Rangers are 1st in runs scored and Rays 5th, not good for an average pitcher

Felix Doubront: 5/7 @ KC; 5/12 vs CLE – 5.19 ERA this year and 4.99 for his career

Josh Tomlin: 5/7 vs CHW; 5/12 @ BOS – 5.27 ERA so far this year and must face Red Sox

Blake Beavan: 5/7 vs DET; 5/13 @ NYY – poor minor league record and no offensive support from teammates

Liam Hendriks: 5/8 vs LAA; 5/13 vs TOR – still hasn’t figured out how to majors leaguers out

Risky at best results

Week 4 – 4 GS, 3 QS, 2 W, 25.3 IP, 31 H+BB, 9 K’s, 11 ER, 3.91 ERA, 1.22 whip

YTD – 35 GS, 14 QS, 8 W, 190 IP, 288 H+BB, 128 K’s, 106 ER, 5.02 ERA, 1.52 whip

Other Favorable Matchups

Jon Lester: 5/9 @ KC

Lest is 5-1 with a 1.30 ERA against the Royals in his career

Jeremy Hellickson: 5/11 @ BAL

Hellickson is 4-1 with a 2.23 ERA against the Orioles

Dream Matchup:  David Price vs C.C. Sabathia – 5/10 @ NYY

Price is 5-2 with a 3.96 ERA against the Yankees, including a win this year.  Sabathia is 9-7 with a 3.25 ERA against the Rays.

Other favorable matchups results

Week 4 – 2 GS, 2 QS, 1 W, 14 IP, 15 H+BB, 13 K’s, 3 ER, 1.93 ERA, 1.07 whip

YTD – 9 GS, 6 QS, 3 W, 62.2 IP, 73 H+BB, 59 K’s, 20 ER, 2.87 ERA, 1.16 whip

That’s all for now.  See ya next week.

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AL Pitching Planner: April 16 – April 22

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AL Pitching Planner: April 16 – April 22

Posted on 15 April 2012 by Mark Sherrard

Yesterday I took a look at the NL pitching matchups for Week 3.  Here are the AL matchups:

Two Start Pitchers

No-brainers

Justin Verlander: 4/16 @ KC; 4/21 vs Tex

Jered Weaver: 4/16 vs Oak; 4/21 vs Bal

C.C. Sabathia: 4/17 vs Min; 4/22 @ Bos

James Shields: 4/16 @ Bos; 4/21 vs Min

Dan Haren: 4/17 vs Oak; 4/22 vs Bal

When you have last year’s top 4 Cy Young finishers (Verlander, Weaver, Shields and Sabathia) all making two starts in one week, you know its a good week for pitching.  Haren benefits from facing two weak offenses

Not too shabby

Ricky Romero: 4/17 vs TB; 4/22 @ KC

Colby Lewis: 4/17 @ Bos; 4/22 @ Det

Brandon McCarthy: 4/16 @LAA; 4/21 vs Cle

Jeff Niemann: 4/17 @ Tor; 4/22 vs Min

John Danks: 4/17 vs Bal; 4/22 @ Sea

Justin Masterson: 4/17 @ Sea; 4/22 @ Oak

Jake Arrieta: 4/16 @ ChW; 4/21 @ LAA

Philip Humber: 4/16 vs Bal; 4/21 @ Sea

These pitchers have at least one favorable matchup or are talented enough that they should not hurt you.

Risky at best

Freddy Garcia: 4/16 vs Min; 4/21 @ Bos

Kevin Millwood: 4/17 vs Cle; 4/22 vs ChW

Carl Pavano: 4/16 @ NYY; 4/21 @ TB

Daniel Bard: 4/16 vs TB; 4/22 vs NYY

Francisco Liriano: 4/17 @ NYY; 4/22 @ TB

Drew Smyly: 4/17 @ KC; 4/22 vs Tex

Wei-Yin Chen: 4/17 @ ChW; 4/22 @ LAA

These guys just aren’t trust worthy.  Start them at your own risk.

Other Favorable Matchups

David Price: 4/18 @ Tor

Price is 9-2 with a career ERA of 2.06 against Toronto.

Felix Hernandez: 4/19 vs Cle

Hernandez is 5-3 with a 2.80 ERA against Cleveland.

Matt Moore: 4/20 vs Min

Moore has never faced Minnesota, but that may work in his favor.  Plus, the Twins just aren’t very good.

 

 

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