AL Pitching Planner: June 18 – June 24

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AL Pitching Planner: June 18 – June 24

Posted on 18 June 2012 by Mark Sherrard

This week’s AL two-start hurlers feature a pair of lefty aces, a handful of decent options and not much else.

Here are the AL two-start pitchers and other favorable matchups for Week 12:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

C.C. Sabathia:  6/18 vs ATL; 6/24 @ NYM – His numbers aren’t as strong as last year, but still one of the best in the AL

David Price: 6/19 @ WAS; 6/24 @ PHI – gave up 7 ER in just 5 IP last time out, but still a must start

Results

Week 10 -4 GS, 2 QS, 2 W, 22.1 IP, 35 H+BB, 12 K’s, 12 ER, 4.84 ERA, 1.57 whip

YTD – 56 GS, 36 QS, 30 W, 365.2 IP, 468 H+BB, 302 K’s, 141 ER, 3.47 ERA, 1.28 whip

Not Too Shabby

Clay Buchholz: 6/19 vs MIA; 6/24 vs ATL – seems to be rolling with 4 straight starts of 7+ IP and 2 or fewer ER

Matt Harrison: 6/18 @ SD; 6/24 vs COL – 4-0 with a 1.42 ERA in last 5 starts and gets two favorable matchups to boot

Jake Peavy: 6/18 vs CHC; 6/24 vs MIL – has given up more than 3 ER only twice in his 13 starts

Tommy Milone: 6/19 vs LAD; 6/24 vs SF – a couple rough outings hasn’t scared me off, yet

Jerome Williams: 6/18 vs SF; 6/24 vs LAD – 3.84 ERA as a starter this year (11 starts)

Scott Diamond: 6/19 @ PIT; 6/24 @ CIN – has an excellent 29/6 K/BB ratio to go along with 2.13 ERA

Results

Week 10 – 17 GS, 5 QS, 5 W, 93.0 IP, 145 H+BB, 89 K’s, 66 ER, 6.39 ERA, 1.56 whip

YTD – 166 GS, 91 QS, 69 W, 1006.0 IP, 1353 H+BB, 771 K’s, 473 ER, 4.23 ERA, 1.34 whip

Risky at Best

Rick Porcello: 6/19 vs STL; 6/24 @ PIT – has a 5.18 ERA and won’t give you wins (just 4) or K’s (only 44)

Jonathan Sanchez: 6/18 @ HOU; 6/24 vs STL – occasional flashes of brilliance are overshadowed by poor outings

Jake Arrieta: 6/18 @ NYM; 6/24 vs WAS – could be good someday, just not there yet

Hector Noesi: 6/18 vs ARI; 6/24 @ SD – maybe Petco can help him keep the ball in the park (15 HR’s allowed), but I wouldn’t bet on it

Results

Week 10 – 6 GS, 2 QS, 2 W, 32.2 IP, 47 H+BB, 25 K’s, 21 ER, 5.79 ERA, 1.44 whip

YTD – 81 GS, 32 QS, 22 W, 438.1 IP, 659 H+BB, 300 K’s, 268 ER, 5.50 ERA, 1.50 whip

Other Favorable Matchups (<50% owned)

Vin Mazzaro (3% owned):  6/20 @ HOU

Has a 1.80 ERA in last 3 starts (2.57 on the season) and faces the Astros and Jordan Lyles

Kevin Millwood (18% owned): 6/21 @ SD

Has a 1.98 ERA on the season and gets to pitch in Petco

Jose Quintana (6% owned): 6/22 vs MIL

Also has a 1.98 ERA on the season and a strong minor league track record

Results

Week 10 -4 GS, 0 QS, 0 W, 20.2 IP, 38 H+BB, 14 K’s, 23 ER, 10.02 ERA, 1.84 whip

YTD -30 GS, 13 QS, 7 W, 188.2 IP, 258 H+BB, 149 K’s, 96 ER, 4.58 ERA, 1.37 whip

See ya next week.

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NL Pitching Planner:  June 18 – June 24

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NL Pitching Planner: June 18 – June 24

Posted on 18 June 2012 by Mark Sherrard

Fresh off his perfect game, Matt Cain headlines this week’s list of two-start pitchers in the NL.  The pool of two-starters is strong at the top.  However, these strong two-starters are offset by a larger than usual pool of bottom feeders.

Here are the NL two-start pitchers and other favorable matchups for Week 12:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

Matt Cain:  6/18 @ LAA; 6/24 @ OAK – although Philip Humber hasn’t fared well after his perfect game, you have to feel Cain can keep pitching well, as he has a better track record.

R.A. Dickey: 6/18 vs BAL; 6/24 vs NYY – one questionable call away from a no-no last time out

Cole Hamels: 6/19 vs COL; 6/24 vs TB – should bounce back after poor start last time out

Lance Lynn: 6/19 @ DET; 6/24 @ KC – has proven to be one of the more reliable pitchers in the NL

Results

Week 10 -4 GS, 3 QS, 1 W, 27.2 IP, 30 H+BB, 37 K’s, 12 ER, 3.90 ERA, 1.08 whip

YTD – 60 GS, 40 QS, 24 W, 388.1 IP, 436 H+BB, 385 K’s, 134 ER, 3.11 ERA, 1.12 whip

Not Too Shabby

Matt Garza: 6/18 @ CHW; 6/24 @ ARI – a little shaky last time out.  Are the trade rumors distracting him?

Mark Buehrle: 6/19 vs MIA; 6/24 vs TOR – has only given up more than 4 runs in one start

Mike Minor: 6/18 @ NYY; 6/24 @ BOS – two straight strong starts has solidified his position in rotation, for now

Aaron Harang: 6/19 @ OAK; 6/24 @ LAA – does not pitch well on the road (4.37 ERA vs 2.51 at Home), but the A’s could help change that

Wade Miley: 6/18 vs SEA; 6/24 vs CHC – putting up great number in rookie year and faces a couple weak teams

Mat Latos: 6/18 @ CLE; 6/24 vs MIN – still trying to string together some quality starts

Results

Week 10 – 24 GS, 14 QS, 7 W, 149.2 IP, 192 H+BB, 115 K’s, 71 ER, 4.27 ERA, 1.28 whip

YTD – 204 GS, 120 QS, 76 W, 1265.1 IP, 1584 H+ BB, 999 K’s, 520 ER, 3.70 ERA, 1.25 whip

Risky at Best

Randy Wolf:  6/18 vs TOR; 6/24 @ CHW – Wolf was decent last year, but not so much this year.  Best to avoid.

J.A. Happ:  6/18 vs KC; 6/24 vs CLE – its hard to get excited about Astros pitchers, especially those with 5.33 ERA’s

Kevin Correia: 6/19 vs MIN; 6/24 vs DET – A 25/21 K/BB ratio to go with 4.43 ERA and poor offensive support

Josh Outman: 6/19 @ PHI; 6/24 @ TEX – 8.44 ERA, including 7.94 ERA is 3 starts, does not bode well

Jason Marquis: 6/18 vs TEX; 6/24 vs SEA – might benefit from pitching in Petco, but was released by Twins for a reason

Chien-Ming Wang: 6/19 vs TB; 6/24 @ BAL – Nats should have kept Ross Detwiler in the rotation

Results

Week 10 – 9 GS, 7 QS, 6 W, 54.2 IP, 65 H+BB, 41 K’s, 27 ER, 4.45 ERA, 1.19 whip

YTD – 74 GS, 41 QS, 23 W, 446.0 IP, 587 H+BB, 307 K’s, 223 ER, 4.50 ERA, 1.32 whip

Other Favorable Matchups (<50% owned)

Nathan Eovaldi (16% owned): 6/20 @ OAK

Favorable matchup for young pitcher who is throwing well

Dillon Gee (41% owned): 6/20 vs BAL

3.05 ERA over his last 3 starts, could be a good time to take a chance on him

Joe Kelly (5% owned): 6/22 @ KC

Young sinkerballer will square off against a Royals offense that’s 28th in the majors in runs scored

Clayton Richard (16% owned):  6/23 vs SEA

Has a 2.79 ERA in last 3 starts and 1.97 career ERA against the Mariners

Results

Week 10 – 2 GS, 0 QS, 0 W, 12.2 IP, 17 H+BB, 6 K’s, 8 ER, 5.68 ERA, 1.34 whip

YTD – 28 GS, 14 QS, 14 W, 175.2 IP, 231 H+BB, 156 K’s, 81 ER, 4.15 ERA, 1.31 whip

Be sure to check out the AL Pitching Planner and see ya next week.

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AL Pitching Planner: June 11 – June 17

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AL Pitching Planner: June 11 – June 17

Posted on 11 June 2012 by Mark Sherrard

This week’s AL pitching planner features a lot of decent options and only a couple risky ones.  Plus, the AL usually fares better in interleague play, so you have a better chance of avoiding blowups.

Here are the two-start pitchers and other favorable matchups for Week 11 for the AL:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

Brandon Morrow:  6/11 vs WAS; 6/17 vs PHI – any pitcher with a sub-3.00 ERA in the AL is a must-start

Colby Lewis: 6/12 vs ARI; 6/17 vs HOU – only 4-5, despite a 3.38 ERA and the league’s best offense behind him

Wei-Yin Chen:  6/12 vs PIT; 6/17 @ ATL – a 3.49 ERA and a match up vs the majors worst offense make him a no-brainer

Results

Week 9 – 3 GS, 0 QS, 0 W, 17.1 IP, 38 H+BB, 13 K’s, 14 ER, 7.27 ERA, 2.19 whip

YTD – 52 GS, 34 QS, 28 W, 343.1 IP, 433 H+BB, 290 K’s, 129 ER, 3.38 ERA, 1.26 whip

Not Too Shabby

Josh Beckett: 6/11 @ MIA; 6/17 @ CHC – don’t look now, but he has a 2.21 ERA over his last 5 starts

Ivan Nova: 6/11 @ ATL; 6/17 @ WAS – has struggled this year, but threw 8 innings of one run ball last time out

Bartolo Colon:  6/12 @ COL; 6/17 vs SD – pitched well in his only previous start at Coors

Felipe Paulino: 6/12 vs MIL; 6/17 @ STL – Is this his breakout year? 1.67 ERA so far this year.

Jeanmar Gomez: 6/12 @ CIN; 6/17 vs PIT – 4.97 ERA makes him a risk, but start against Pirates lessens that some

Alex Cobb: 6/12 vs NYM; 6/17 vs MIA – has posted a 3.64 ERA in 13 career major league starts

Garrett Richards: 6/11 @ LAD; 6/17 vs ARI – was spectacular last time out (1 ER in 7 IP)

Results

Week 9 – 18 GS, 11 QS, 10 W, 109.0 IP, 136 H+BB, 98 K’s, 48 ER, 3.96 ERA, 1.25 whip

YTD – 149 GS, 86 QS, 64 W, 913.0 IP, 1208 H+BB, 682 K’s, 407 ER, 4.01 ERA, 1.32 whip

Risky at Best

Max Scherzer: 6/12 @ CHC; 6/17 vs COL – 80 K’s in 64.1 IP, but 13 HR’s allowed have been his undoing

Nick Blackburn: 6/12 vs PHI; 6/17 vs MIL – nothing to see here, please move on

Results

Week 9 – 7 GS, 2 QS, 3 W, 32.1 IP, 51 H+BB, 24 K’s, 20 ER, 5.57 ERA, 1.58 whip

YTD – 75 GS, 30 QS, 20 W, 405.2 IP, 612 H+BB, 275 K’s, 247 ER, 5.48 ERA, 1.51 whip

Other Favorable Matchups (<50% owned)

Brian Matusz (36% owned): 6/13 vs PIT

Matusz has never faced the Pirates before, but the Pirates are last in the majors in runs scored, so he’s worth a shot

Kevin Millwood (17% owned): 6/14 vs SD

He just threw 6 no-hit innings and he is 8-2 with a 3.27 ERA against the Padres, but make sure he’s healthy

Josh Tomlin (10% owned): 6/14 @ CIN

Won his only game against the Reds, allowing one run on just 3 hits in 7 IP

Drew Hutchison (26% owned): 6/15 vs PHI

Has a 3.50 ERA with a 17/4 K/BB ratio over his last 3 starts

Results

Week 9 – 5 GS, 1 QS, 1 W, 28.2 IP, 48 H+BB, 15 K’s, 20 ER, 6.28 ERA, 1.67 whip

YTD – 26 GS, 13 QS, 7 W, 168.0 IP, 220 H+BB, 136 K’s, 73 ER, 3.91 ERA, 1.31 whip

See ya next week.

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NL Pitching Planner: June 11 – June 17

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NL Pitching Planner: June 11 – June 17

Posted on 11 June 2012 by Mark Sherrard

Interleague play is in full swing this week, which means even more unpredictability when it comes to pitching.  Not only do you have to try to figure out each pitchers ever changing whims, but you have to figure out how they might perform against unfamiliar opponents.

In the NL, there’s not a lot of quality up top, but there’s not a lot of crap at the bottom either, so most of your two-start pitchers are fairly safe bets.

Here are the Week 11 two-start pitchers and other favorable matchups for you NL pitchers:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

Zack Greinke: 6/12 @ KC; 6/17 @ MIN – Greinke gets to face his former team for the first time this week

Johnny Cueto: 6/12 vs CLE; 6/17 @ NYM – 15-8 with a 2.42 ERA over his last 36 starts

Madison Bumgarner: 6/12 vs HOU; 6/17 @ SEA – 3.13 career ERA, but only 27-23 (if only the Giants could score)

Results

Week 9 – 7 GS, 3 QS, 4 W, 45.0 IP, 53 H+BB, 43 K’s, 22 ER, 4.40 ERA, 1.18 whip

YTD – 56 GS, 37 QS, 23 W, 360.2 IP, 406 H+BB, 348 K’s, 122 ER, 3.04 ERA, 1.13 whip

Not Too Shabby

Josh Johnson: 6/11 vs BOS; 6/17 @ TB – has not given up more than 3 ER in any of his last 6 starts

Adam Wainwright: 6/12 vs CHW; 6/17 vs KC – still not 100% back, but getting better (4.05 ERA in last 8 starts)

Ian Kennedy: 6/12 @ TEX; 6/17 @ LAA – Diamondbacks ace has only allowed one run in last two starts

Bud Norris: 6/12 @ SF; 6/17 @ TEX – the Giants are 20th in the majors in runs scored, the Rangers are first

Edwin Jackson: 6/1 @ TOR; 6/17 vs NYY – has pitched well this year, but these are tough matchups

Chris Capuano: 6/11 vs LAA; 6/17 vs CHW – 8-2 with a 2.82 ERA nearly earns him the no-brainer label

Clayton Richard: 6/12 @ SEA; 6/17 @ OAK – below average pitcher, but gets to face light hitting A’s

Randall Delgado: 6/11 vs NYY; 6/17 vs BAL – should stick in rotation thanks to strong performance of late

Chris Young: 6/12 @ TB; 6/17 vs CIN- cannot throw over 85 mph, but can still get guys out

Results

Week 9 – 18 GS, 8 QS, 8 W, 104.1 IP, 144 H+BB, 96 K’s, 47 ER, 4.05 ERA, 1.38 whip

YTD – 180 GS, 106 QS, 69 W, 1115.2 IP, 1392 H+BB, 884 K’s, 449 ER, 3.62 ERA, 1.25 whip

Risky at Best

Jeremy Guthrie:  6/12 vs OAK; 6/17 @ DET – two straight shellackings has raised talk of removal from rotation

Paul Maholm:  6/12 vs DET; 6/17 vs BOS – has given up 4 or more runs in 4 of last 5 starts

Kyle Kendrick: 6/12 @ MIN; 6/17 @ TOR – just does not have the stuff to consistently succeed

Brad Lincoln: 6/12 @ BAL; 6/17 @ CLE – 5 ER allowed in last start (4 IP) and career 4.97 ERA has me wary

Results

Week 9 – 5 GS, 3 QS, 2 W, 32.1 IP, 35 H+BB, 21 K’s, 15 ER, 4.18 ERA, 1.08 whip

YTD – 65 GS, 34 QS, 17 W, 391.1 IP, 522 H+BB, 266 K’s, 196 ER, 4.51 ERA, 1.33 whip

Other Favorable Matchups (< 50% owned)

Jason Marquis (1% owned): 6/13 @ SEA

Not for the faint of heart, but Marquis does own a 1.95 career ERA against the Mariners

Travis Wood (6% owned): 6/14 vs DET

Has never faced the Tigers, which could work in his advantage

Michael Fiers (5% owned): 6/15 @ MIN

Has pitched well in first two major league starts and faces a light hitting Twins team.

Anthony Bass (39% owned): 6/16 @ OAK

Has been surprisingly good this year and faces a weak hitting A’s team

Results

Week 9 – 3 GS, 0 QS, 1 W, 17.1 IP, 35 H+BB, 9 K’s, 18 ER, 9.35 ERA, 2.02 whip

YTD – 26 GS, 14 QS, 14 W, 163.0 IP, 214 H+BB, 150 K’s, 73 ER, 4.03 ERA, 1.31 whip

Up next is the AL.

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NL Pitching Planner: June 4 – June 10

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NL Pitching Planner: June 4 – June 10

Posted on 04 June 2012 by Mark Sherrard

Not a lot of high end pitchers for the NL this week, but the middle tier is stacked.

Here are the NL two-start pitchers and other favorable matchups for week 10:

Two-Start Pitchers

No-Brainers

Clayton Kershaw:  6/4 @ PHI; 6/9 @ SEA – the reigning Cy Young winner is always a must start

Cliff Lee:  6/5 vs LAD; 6/10 @ BAL – tough matchup against Kershaw in first start

Results

Week 8 – 10 GS, 4 QS, 5 W, 62.0 IP, 72 H+BB, 63 K’s, 25 ER, 3.63 ERA, 1.16 whip

YTD – 49 GS, 34 QS, 19 W, 315.2 IP, 353 H+BB, 305 K’s, 100 ER, 2.85 ERA, 1.12 whip

Not Too Shabby

Tim Lincecum: 6/5 @ SD; 6/10 vs TEX – control is a concern, but should be able to hold the Padres in check

Yovani Gallardo: 6/5 vs CHC; 6/10 vs SD – gets to face a couple weak hitting teams

Anibal Sanchez: 6/5 vs ATL; 6/10 vs TB – if he would get more wins, he’d be a no-brainer

Jordan Zimmermann: 6/5 vs NYM; 6/10 @ BOS – has to face a hot Mets team and the hard-hitting Red Sox

Ryan Dempster: 6/5 @ MIL; 6/10 @ MIN – Brewers are banged up and Twins can’t score

Kyle Lohse: 6/4 @ NYM; 6/9 vs CLE – keeps finding ways to win with less than dominant stuff

Jeff Samardzija: 6/4 @ SF; 6/9 @ MIN – a couple weak hitting opponents for the “Shark”

Homer Bailey: 6/5 vs PIT; 6/10 vs DET – 4 straight quality starts has pushed ERA under 4.00

Ryan Vogelsong: 6/4 vs CHC; 6/9 vs TEX – continues to prove that last year was not a fluke

Dillon Gee: 6/5 @ WAS; 6/10 @ NYY – 3 straight quality starts has dropped ERA nearly a full run

Joe Saunders: 6/4 vs COL; 6/10 vs OAK – Rockies don’t hit outside Coors, A’s just don’t hit

Jake Westbrook: 6/5 @ HOU; 6/10 vs CLE – has had a rough go of it last 4 starts, so tread carefully

Results

Week 8 – 26 GS, 15 QS, 13 W, 167.0 IP, 186 H+BB, 141 K’s, 65 ER, 3.50 ERA, 1.11 whip

YTD – 162 GS, 98 QS, 61 W, 1011.1 IP, 1248 H+BB, 788 K’s, 402 ER, 3.58 ERA, 1.23 whip

Risky at Best

Chad Billingsley: 6/5 @ PHI; 6/10 @ SEA – 5.52 ERA in May

Lucas Harrell: 6/5 vs STL; 6/10 @ CHW – followed up one of his better starts (7.1 IP, 1 ER), with worst (5 IP, 9 ER)

Randall Delgado: 6/5 @ MIA; 6/10 vs TOR – either he or Mike Minor will lose their spot to Kris Medlen

Christian Friedrich: 6/4 @ ARI; 6/10 vs LAA – don’t trust rookies

Jeremy Hefner: 6/4 vs STL; 6/9 @ NYY – see above

Brad Lincoln: 6/5 @ CIN; 6/10 vs KC – great season so far, but still has a career ERA of 4.77

Results

Week 8 – 11 GS, 4 QS, 2 W, 65.1 IP, 91 H+BB, 40 K’s, 34 ER, 4.68 ERA, 1.39 whip

YTD – 60 GS, 31 QS, 15 W, 359.0 IP, 487 H+BB, 245 K’s, 181 ER, 4.54 ERA, 1.36 whip

Other Favorable Matchups

Here are pitchers owned less than 50% in CBS leagues, with favorable matchups for Week 10

Anthony Bass (45% owned): 6/6 vs SF

What’s it gonna take for this guy to get some love?  Owns career 1.10 ERA against the Giants

Mike Leake (20% owned): 6/7 vs PIT

2.84 career ERA against the Pirates, despite a 1-3 record

Clayton Richard (12% owned) 6/7 vs SF

Should come as no surprise considering the Giants’ weak off the last few years, but is 5-3 with 3.35 ERA against them

Results

Week 8 – 3 GS, 1 QS, 1 W, 19.1 IP, 27 H+BB, 17 K’s, 13 ER, 6.05 ERA, 1.40 whip

YTD – 23 GS, 14 QS, 13 W, 145.2 IP, 179 H+BB, 141 K’s, 55 ER, 3.40 ERA, 1.23 whip

AL is up next

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