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	<title>Full Spectrum Baseball &#187; Graham Womack</title>
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		<title>Barry Bonds: The invisible man</title>
		<link>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/05/02/acknowledging-barry-bond/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/05/02/acknowledging-barry-bond/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 May 2012 12:00:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Graham Womack</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MLB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Albert Pujols]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Babe Ruth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barry Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baseball Writers Association Of America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Caveat]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deeper Sense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Distaste]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dream Teams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hall Of Fame]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Invisible Man]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lou Gehrig]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Mcgwire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Old News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Personal Vote]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rafael Palmeiro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Relative Merits]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ted Williams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time Dream]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tweet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Writers Association]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/?p=2405</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Bonds doesn't get his due as an all-time great thanks to the probability he used steroids.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I had an exchange this past Saturday with a blogging colleague, Wendy Thurm. It started with a tweet from Wendy:</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p>* RT @<a href="https://twitter.com/sundownmotel">sundownmotel</a>: They just called Albert Pujols &#8220;the best hitter in baseball in the last 30-40 years.&#8221; Barry Bonds expunged from memory.</p>
<p>— Wendy Thurm (@hangingsliders) <a href="https://twitter.com/hangingsliders/status/196322830915346432">April 28, 2012</a></p></blockquote>
<p>This led to something of a debate between Wendy and I about the relative merits of Pujols. I think it&#8217;s a closer debate than some people might allow, down to the fact that Pujols posted a higher OPS+ through his age 31 season than Bonds did, 169 to 161. Of course, it must be noted in the same breath that Bonds averaged a 205 OPS+ in the 11 years that followed his age 31 campaign to bring his lifetime OPS+ to 182, and Pujols doesn&#8217;t look on any remotely similar trajectory, at least not a month into this season.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/BarryBonds2.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-2410" title="BarryBonds2" src="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/BarryBonds2.jpg" alt="" width="350" height="200" /></a></p>
<p>In a deeper sense, though, I think Wendy has a point. Bonds doesn&#8217;t get his due as an all-time great thanks to the probability he used steroids. In about six months, Bonds will debut on the Baseball Writers Association of America ballot for the Hall of Fame, and I don&#8217;t expect him to get more than 50 percent of the vote. Writers have shown an unwillingness, by and large, to give much consideration to anyone thought to have used steroids, old news to anyone who&#8217;s followed the Cooperstown bids of Mark McGwire, Rafael Palmeiro, and so many others. It&#8217;s gotten to the point that it&#8217;s difficult to have a rational discussion about this.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll admit I didn&#8217;t vote for Bonds in a recent project I conducted for my website having people vote on <a href="http://baseballpastandpresent.com/2012/04/15/bpp-all-time-dream-project/" target="_blank">nine player all-time dream teams</a>. I went with Ted Williams in left for my personal vote, and while I rationalized it by telling myself I&#8217;d love a 3-4-5 batting order of Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig, and Williams, part of it had to do with my distaste of anyone who&#8217;s used steroids. There&#8217;s a caveat that I&#8217;ll add to this shortly, but I don&#8217;t see why I have to like that a generation of players were pressured to use to keep up. I&#8217;ve noticed an attitude within parts of the baseball research community to dismiss the effects of steroids on playing ability, and I think that&#8217;s bunk.</p>
<p>By that same token, I&#8217;m also not into historical revisionism. I don&#8217;t believe in excluding steroid users from Cooperstown, being that steroids were no more a part of the game than amphetamines in the 1960s or all-white play prior to 1947. I also don&#8217;t believe in pretending Bonds didn&#8217;t set the records that he did or in striking his name from the books or giving him an asterisk. Every generation of baseball history deserves to be put in context. Nothing in the game happens in a vacuum. If I could give Bonds a vote for the Hall of Fame this fall, I would. I&#8217;ll marvel at his 2004 slash line of .362/.609/.812 even if I hope that no player ever again accomplishes it by the means I assume he did.</p>
<p>I might not like the steroid-addled version of Bonds which emerged in the last half of his career, but if Bonds wasn&#8217;t the best hitter in baseball of the past 30 or 40 years, he&#8217;s part of a very short discussion. It&#8217;s a discussion I wish would happen more often.</p>
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		<title>An interview with Cecilia Tan</title>
		<link>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/04/25/an-interview-with-cecilia-tan/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/04/25/an-interview-with-cecilia-tan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2012 13:01:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Graham Womack</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MLB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alliance One]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cecilia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clubhouse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clubhouses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clueless]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Couple Of Days]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Email Group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Excerpts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gay Players]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Girlfriend]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Major League Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[No Doubt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phillies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Quote Unquote]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Skype]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terry Francona]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tuesday Evening]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/?p=2296</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Cecilia Tan, runs blog a called Why I Like Baseball, has some experience going in clubhouses as a writer, and said it's well-known to media that gay players are already in the sport. ]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In this space last week, I wrote a post on <a href="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/04/18/gays-in-baseball-the-next-jackie-robinson/" target="_blank">the lack of openly gay players in baseball</a>. The post stirred some discussion, among it a debate that lasted for a couple of days in an email group for the Baseball Bloggers Alliance. One of the people who spoke up, Cecilia Tan, runs blog a called <a href="http://www.whyilikebaseball.com/" target="_blank">Why I Like Baseball</a>, has some experience going in clubhouses as a writer, and said it&#8217;s well-known to media that gay players are already in the sport. This caught my attention, and I wanted to explore the idea more, so I sought Tan out for an interview.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/CecilaTan.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-2299 alignnone" title="CecilaTan" src="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/CecilaTan.jpg" alt="" width="350" height="200" /></a></p>
<p>The following are excerpts of our near hour-long conversation via Skype on Tuesday evening:</p>
<p><strong>To your knowledge, without naming any names, are there currently any gay players in Major League Baseball?</strong></p>
<p>I&#8217;m trying to think now, kind of going through in my head of the people who are talked about and whatnot. Most of them are retired now, because the time when I was spending the most time in major league clubhouses was seven-eight years ago. But I have no doubt that there are gay players in the major leagues right now. There&#8217;s just no way that there are not. There&#8217;s no clubhouse that doesn&#8217;t have one or more guys at the very least. It&#8217;s just not possible that there aren&#8217;t any right now.</p>
<p><strong>Did you ever have a player tell you off the record that they were gay?</strong></p>
<p>No one ever really told me. No one ever came out to me or whatever. But there were always guys who were known&#8230; When a manager and the press corps are hanging around, kind of joking or whatever, sometimes there&#8217;ll be little offhand comments. Sometimes it&#8217;s not a deep secret, it&#8217;s just a secret to the public. I remember when Terry Francona was with the Phillies, him joking with the press corps. He was kind of tight with the writers down there and would sort of joke around and there&#8217;d be little offhand comments about, &#8216;So-and-so showed up to a thing with a quote-unquote girlfriend,&#8217; you know, that kind of stuff and him playing sort of clueless about it.</p>
<p>The writers a lot of the time have nothing to do but talk to each other, so there&#8217;s a lot of gossip, speculation, and chit-chat that goes on. A Major League Baseball team is like the circus. They pick up and move, they travel around, the beat writers travel with them, not on the same airplanes or whatever, but everyone&#8217;s pretty much going to the same places. Everyone&#8217;s in it together. You find out stuff, you hear things, you are staying in the same hotels a lot of the times.</p>
<p>I&#8217;d say it&#8217;s an unspoken rule maybe of the current media. Nobody wants to lose their job because they&#8217;re the one that decided to make a stink by outing a gay player. Nobody wants to be the one who does that because you&#8217;d lose your clubhouse access. Even if you kept it technically, no player would ever talk to you again. If you broke confidence like that, that would be, I dunno&#8211; I&#8217;m trying to think. You look at the whole steroids thing, performance enhancing drugs. Look at how long the culture of silence stayed around that, and that&#8217;s something that actually had to do with the integrity of the game. Players had to speak out about it first before the little guys in the media could say anything.</p>
<p><strong>How good is MLB or the player&#8217;s union or any other entity within baseball about taking an active role in social issues from your vantage point?</strong></p>
<p>It&#8217;s interesting. Bud Selig, in particular, I think we&#8217;re not really going to be able to write the book on whether he was progressive or conservative until he gets out of office. It&#8217;s just like presidents of the United States. You can&#8217;t really define them until they&#8217;re out of office. Selig has been very interesting in that when he first came along, people were like, &#8216;Oh, he&#8217;s just a puppet of the owners. He was an owner himself. He&#8217;s not really a commissioner in that he doesn&#8217;t dictate anything to the owners.&#8217; That&#8217;s the thing. He&#8217;s a consensus builder, and he is CEO of Baseball, Inc. basically. I think he always approached the job more like a CEO would as opposed to a commissioner who is supposed to hand down rules would.</p>
<p>You saw that perfectly when one of the things that came out of the Mitchell Report and the congressional hearings was they said, &#8216;Well, we think there should be a commission appointed to enforce the moral rules of baseball.&#8217; That&#8217;s what the commissioner&#8217;s job is. That&#8217;s why he&#8217;s called commissioner. No one&#8217;s been that type of commissioner in quite awhile. Really, Selig is the first one who really typified, &#8216;No, I&#8217;m just CEO of Baseball, Inc.&#8217; He&#8217;s been very, very successful at that, there&#8217;s no question about it. Attendance is up, money is up. The various owners who had their snits and wanted to be contracted, he kind of steered everybody through that.</p>
<p>He&#8217;s done some things that are interesting, like he tried to increase the number of women and minority-owned businesses that Major League Baseball purchases from, for example. They have to have a t-shirt company who makes the t-shirts that say, &#8216;American League Champion Boston Red Sox&#8217; on them, and then when they lose, they wind up on whatever children in some starving country somewhere. Somebody&#8217;s gotta manufacture that, somebody&#8217;s gotta design it, this, that, and the other, and he put in an initiative, in the &#8217;90s, basically an affirmative action&#8211; he didn&#8217;t use those words&#8211; effort to say, we need to be partnering with more women-owned and minority-owned businesses. That wasn&#8217;t something that really got him any PR cred with the fans, the owners didn&#8217;t care who prints the darn t-shirts. I think that really came from him and a sort of commitment to, &#8216;Well, what are the things that I can do to [make] baby steps toward social justice with this giant behemoth of a corporation, money-making juggernaut that is Major League Baseball?&#8217; So that was sort of interesting, He totally didn&#8217;t have to have that in mind at all. It wasn&#8217;t like he did that to shut somebody else up because of criticism of something. I mean, I don&#8217;t know whose idea that was, but you know.</p>
<p>So I think there is a little bit of that going on. I don&#8217;t think you&#8217;re going to see him coming out&#8211; haha, no pun intended&#8211; for or against gay marriage initiatives, for example. But I do think we&#8217;re at a stage in the United States, where gay rights is, where coverage in the media of equality is, that if you get too many more of these kinds of homophobic slurs being shouted out of the bullpens or whatever, that he will have to make some sort of statement or he&#8217;ll have to impose a rule like no racists, no sexists, this, that, or the other.</p>
<p><strong>In your time going in locker rooms, can you think of any specific instances of homophobia, or anything that would&#8217;ve made a gay player uncomfortable to be open about his sexuality with his teammates and the media?</strong></p>
<p>I never saw anything. Chatting with other members of the media about it, it really is something that is just invisible. There are guys who, their teammates know, but the reason that it&#8217;s okay is because they never, ever, ever bring it up, and it&#8217;s never an issue. I dunno. It&#8217;s not like there would be guys talking about how, &#8216;After the game tonight, we&#8217;re going to go down to the gay bars and beat people up.&#8217; It&#8217;s not like that. It&#8217;s much more insidious&#8230; A lot of guys fear being considered gay by association. Their masculinity is questioned, as if getting your masculinity questioned is the worst thing that could possibly happen to a person.</p>
<p><strong>I know for black players, they had Jackie Robinson. Gays ostensibly had Glenn Burke who, while he wasn&#8217;t publicly gay while he was a player, the word is that he was out to his teammates and the management. And obviously, Glenn Burke, he struggled a lot in the majors between drug abuse and homophobia from some of his teams, most notably Billy Martin. Do you think Burke&#8217;s struggles at all might have set gay players back?</strong></p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know. I don&#8217;t know enough about it. Every clubhouse is different. That&#8217;s sort of like saying, was the stress of homophobia part of what led to his drug problems. We can ask the same questions of Doc Gooden and Darryl Strawberry, did racism contribute to their persistent problems? I don&#8217;t know. You can say there is minority stress in which people who are not a member of the dominant group are constantly under scrutiny that other people don&#8217;t have. If you don&#8217;t live with the privilege of being part of the dominant group, you have minority stress and<br />
having to justify yourself constantly, so forth and so on.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re gay, if you&#8217;re out, you have minority stress, and if you&#8217;re not out, you have what&#8217;s called &#8216;invisible minority stress,&#8217; where you&#8217;re constantly trying to pretend to be something you&#8217;re not. This is what leads to the high rates of suicide and so forth. It&#8217;s just not good for one&#8217;s mental health. It&#8217;s like playing in the major leagues is already so tough on people mentally. The pressure to succeed, the mental piece is such a huge part of it.</p>
<p>Probably there are guys who think about it and say, &#8216;Well, look what happened to him, I don&#8217;t want to go down that road.&#8217; But honestly, I think most young players probably don&#8217;t even know who Glenn Burke was. A lot of young players&#8211; and by which I mean all players, because they&#8217;re all young to me now. Only Jamie Moyer is older than I am in the major leagues right now&#8211; they&#8217;re not so much thinking about the guys who came before. Every single one of them thinks that he&#8217;s special and different and that&#8217;s why he&#8217;s made it to the bigs&#8230;.</p>
<p>Are we going to see a gay player in the major leagues in our lifetimes? I don&#8217;t know. Because this is the question, will somebody get outed accidentally, and then have to stand up and be like, &#8216;Okay, well now I will be the poster child.&#8217; That is how I can see it accelerating and happening sooner rather than later, is that, somebody basically just gets caught in some totally compromising position or gets outed by an ex-lover who happens to be somebody who&#8217;s in a position to not just get shut up by hush money. You know what I mean? It would have to be a confluence of different things.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s funny, I&#8217;m under contract right now to a romance book publisher called Ravenous Romance to write them a gay baseball-themed romance.</p>
<p><strong>Oh wow.</strong></p>
<p>[laughter] I have not delivered them the manuscript. You may not know this if you&#8217;re not in the world of romance, but 95 percent of romance readers are women, and women like to read about men, so there&#8217;s this whole exploding category of gay romance written by straight women for straight women, but with gay characters, a male-male pairing, as they say. So they&#8217;ve contracted me to write this novel, and it&#8217;s funny because I can&#8217;t even figure out how to get started because I&#8217;m trying to think, okay, how realistic do I want this to be, and I do wanna try to dig into what would actually happen if the romance is discovered, or do I want to make it like some romances where just everything is hunky-dory, ignore the actual issues that could occur. I just can&#8217;t decide, because part of me really wants to write a book that would make a statement about how it could go in a world where they would have to fight for acceptance, but they gain that acceptance in the end. The whole point of a romance novel is a happy ending, and true love wins. Part of me is like, you can&#8217;t suspend your disbelief enough to do this, so I don&#8217;t know. I have to deliver it probably by the end of summer, so I need to decide.</p>
<p><strong>Do you think it&#8217;s important that baseball have an openly gay player?</strong></p>
<p>Do I think it&#8217;s important? I don&#8217;t know. This is the thing&#8211; I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s that important for two reasons. One, baseball will not be drastically improved or changed by having an out gay player, because it&#8217;s not as if that will overnight change the culture of clubhouses in general or the way players are scouted or anything like that. Ultimately, it isn&#8217;t going to change that much, even though people are going to have a flip out about it. Still, it&#8217;s not going to change that much.</p>
<p>When it comes to role models, having gay role models, I don&#8217;t feel that a gay baseball player is necessarily going to have that much more impact than the many public figures we have who are out and proud right now, which is one of the reasons why I think it&#8217;s even more possible for it to happen. You&#8217;ve got singers, actors, dancers, politicians, I dunno, who are the other gay figures? There&#8217;s probably a gay astronaut, I just can&#8217;t name him. We&#8217;ve got gay military officers, et cetera, et cetera. At this point, it&#8217;s not as if we&#8217;re so starved for role models that us having a [gay] baseball player we can point to who&#8217;s in the current major leagues means that the suicide rate is going up because of that. The suicide rate is what it is, despite all the people who are out.</p>
<p>I would have liked to see more major league teams do &#8216;It Gets Better&#8217; videos. I know a couple of them did. There&#8217;s this whole thing that you didn&#8217;t have to be gay to do an &#8216;It Gets Better&#8217; video. Who was it, President Obama did an &#8216;It Gets Better&#8217; video in which he said, &#8216;I don&#8217;t know what it&#8217;s like to be gay, but I know what it&#8217;s like to be picked on for being different.&#8217; That kind of stuff I would&#8217;ve liked to see, but I think a lot of [teams] said, &#8216;This isn&#8217;t our issue. We&#8217;lll put more money and charity stuff into underprivileged kids in urban areas, and we&#8217;ll put more into these other things that are sort of more their&#8211; you know, children&#8217;s hospitals, whatever&#8211; more their traditional charities.&#8217;</p>
<p>It&#8217;s like, alright, fine. That&#8217;s why I don&#8217;t see myself pushing this issue. I think ultimately, that social capital could be better spent somewhere else. It&#8217;s not that I think we should keep the closet door closed in any way. I just don&#8217;t think it would make that big a difference in either the sport or in American life ultimately. It&#8217;d be a big firestorm, but it would be a big firestorm about nothing. And after that, would it be easier or harder for the next guy to come out would really depend on how that first guy handled it.</p>
<p>Is he going to be a Jackie Robinson type who can kind of conduct himself with dignity? Or is he going to be, you know, whatever? Like a left-handed reliever who is already considered weird? We don&#8217;t know. Or is he going to be like a utility infielder who is so marginal that after he comes out and then finds he can&#8217;t get a job the next year, people are like, &#8216;Well, he was a marginal player. He was always the 25th man anyway. It has nothing to do with him being gay. He played like crap.&#8217; Unless, it&#8217;s a superstar, we&#8217;re always going to wonder, and that guy will always wonder and think to himself, &#8216;Oh, I should&#8217;ve kept my mouth shut.&#8217; I dunno. There&#8217;s so many different variables in play as far as how it could go.</p>
<p>I do wonder if we&#8217;re not going to see, at some point, some other former major leaguers coming out of the closet. Like I look at George Takei, who was Mr. Sulu on the original &#8220;Star Trek&#8221; and who was in the closet for many years and is now this total outspoken advocate for marriage equality, but you know, he&#8217;s in his 70s or maybe just turned 70. He&#8217;s my father&#8217;s age. And he&#8217;s happily married, too, his male partner who is also sort of a marriage equality advocate. He goes around speaking at colleges, and this and that. He&#8217;s on &#8220;The Howard Stern Show&#8221; regularly now, and you&#8217;re like, &#8216;If the &#8220;Howard Stern Show&#8221; can have a recurring gay voice, well gee, then maybe Major League Baseball could take it.&#8217; I mean, seriously.</p>
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		<title>Gays in baseball: The next Jackie Robinson</title>
		<link>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/04/18/gays-in-baseball-the-next-jackie-robinson/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/04/18/gays-in-baseball-the-next-jackie-robinson/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Apr 2012 11:00:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Graham Womack</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MLB]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/?p=2177</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The more baseball can celebrate Robinson's triumph and his spirit, the better.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Another Jackie Robinson Day has come and gone. I don&#8217;t have any major problem with Major League Baseball&#8217;s annual celebration of its first black player, which fell on Sunday this year. I&#8217;ve heard some suggest the day&#8217;s a sham, an excuse to make money. That may be true to some extent, I don&#8217;t know. I don&#8217;t really care. Robinson endured more hatred and bigotry than any player in baseball history. His 1947 debut with the Brooklyn Dodgers brought jeers from fans and opposing players alike, death threats, and rumors of strikes, even from his teammates. The more baseball can celebrate Robinson&#8217;s triumph and his spirit, the better.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/JackieRobinson2.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-2184 alignnone" title="JackieRobinson2" src="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/JackieRobinson2.jpg" alt="" width="350" height="200" /></a></p>
<p>No other race or group of players in baseball history went through what Jackie Robinson endured, and today, it&#8217;s hard to imagine any pioneering player facing similar scrutiny. I can think of one exception. The first time there&#8217;s an openly gay star baseball player, people are going to lose their minds.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s one of the last remaining areas of bigotry in America, persecution of gays, and not surprisingly, baseball isn&#8217;t much evolved. I know of one player openly gay, at least to his team, during his career: Glenn Burke, an outfielder in the 1970s who was touted as the next Willie Mays but crashed spectacularly between his own drug abuse and homophobia. Burke died of AIDS-related complications in 1995, and besides his sexual orientation, he might be most known for helping popularize the high-five in baseball. I also know of one player who came out in retirement, Billy Bean (not to be confused with Billy Beane) <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Going-Other-Way-Lessons-Baseball/dp/B001G8WQ16/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1334684680&amp;sr=8-1" target="_blank">who wrote a 2004 book about it</a>.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, baseball remains a sport where Mike Piazza once held a press conference to say he wasn&#8217;t gay, where the publication of a recent all-time dream team project I conducted for my website brought <a href="http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/04/16/the-all-time-dream-team/#comments" target="_blank">a few comments that Johnny Bench may have been gay as well</a>. Then there&#8217;s Tommy Lasorda, whose son died of AIDS-related pneumonia in 1991. &#8220;My son wasn&#8217;t gay,&#8221; Lasorda reportedly told <em>GQ Magazine</em>. &#8220;No way. No way. I read that in a paper. I also read in that paper that a lady gave birth to a [expletive] monkey, too. That&#8217;s not the [expletive] truth. That&#8217;s not the truth.&#8221;</p>
<p>Lasorda&#8217;s comments might be excusable as the irrationality and denial of a grieving parent, though similar sentiments have been expressed in baseball since. John Rocker essentially torched his career in 1999 by giving <a href="http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/vault/article/magazine/MAG1018025/index.htm" target="_blank">an ill-advised interview to </a><em><a href="http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/vault/article/magazine/MAG1018025/index.htm" target="_blank">Sports Illustrated</a> </em>where he took shots at gays, among many other groups. And just last year, Atlanta Braves pitching coach Roger McDowell was suspended after asking a few spectators at AT&amp;T Park in San Francisco, &#8221;Are you guys a homo couple or a threesome?&#8221;</p>
<p>Perhaps society on the whole is less bigoted though I doubt it. I live in California, one of if not the most socially progressive areas in the country, and I watched in disgust a couple of years ago as a majority of voters in my state voted to constitutionally ban gay marriage. I imagine baseball fans in areas politically similar to Modesto or Fresno or Bakersfield would have no problem taunting or threatening a player brave enough to come out.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s just the thing. With estimates that 10 percent of people are gay or lesbian, chances are good that a sport of 750 players (up to 1,200 after September call-ups) already has a gay All Star or two. I&#8217;ll celebrate when the day comes that he plays openly.</p>
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		<title>Prediction: The Pirates will finish .500 or better in 2012</title>
		<link>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/04/11/prediction-the-pirates-will-finish-500-or-better-in-2012/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/04/11/prediction-the-pirates-will-finish-500-or-better-in-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Apr 2012 12:00:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Graham Womack</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/?p=2046</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In this space last week, I wrote that I wasn't buying the steadfast hype this offseason for the Washington Nationals.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In this space last week, I wrote that <a href="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/04/04/washington-nationals-not-buying-the-hype/" target="_blank">I wasn&#8217;t buying the steadfast hype this offseason for the Washington Nationals</a>. I wrote that in the densely-packed National League East, the Nationals would be hard-pressed to reign supreme over the Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins, and Philadelphia Phillies. I wrote that if the Nationals played in the NL Central, like the Pittsburgh Pirates, I might project them to win 90 games. Accordingly, it&#8217;s time for another prediction.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/AJBurnett.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-2055 alignnone" title="AJBurnett" src="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/AJBurnett.jpg" alt="" width="350" height="200" /></a></p>
<p>It&#8217;s been 20 years since the Pirates last had a winning season. In the two decades since Francisco Cabrera dumped a bloop single in front of <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/bondsba01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Barry Bonds</a></strong> that sent the Braves to the World Series, Pittsburgh fans have gotten to know a special kind of futility. They&#8217;ve had at least 90 losses ten times. Not once in 20 years have they scored 800 runs, though they&#8217;ve allowed that many eight times. And Pittsburgh has more or less served as an assembly line for sending talented young players to other teams.</p>
<p>Few teams in baseball history have stayed this bad for this long. The Boston Red Sox had a similar run after Babe Ruth left town. The Philadelphia Phillies had one winning season between 1918 and 1948. But eventually, those teams made it out of their ruts, and this year, I see the Pirates doing likewise. In 2012, I predict the Pirates will finish .500 or better.</p>
<p>It has to happen at some point, right? I see a few reasons why this could be the year. First, the Pirates have assembled a solid, young core. Their pitching staff, while nondescript, managed a 4.04 staff ERA last season and will have <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/burnea.01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">A.J. Burnett</a></strong> this year. On offense, Pittsburgh has <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/walkene01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Neil Walker</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/t/tabatjo01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Jose Tabata</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/a/alvarpe01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Pedro Alvarez</a></strong>, and others. Alvarez is a power-hitting third baseman who struggled last year but is still young and comes highly touted. If Tabata can stay healthy, he looks like a potential .300 hitter. And Walker could be among the best second basemen in the National League if he builds on his 2.5 WAR, 12 home runs, and 83 RBI from 2011.</p>
<p>The Pirates also showed they may have learned from their past, giving a six-year, $51 million extension to budding superstar <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/mccutan01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Andrew McCutchen</a></strong> who, after three seasons, looks a lot like a young Barry Bonds. As it was with Bonds, McCutchen&#8217;s an All Star outfielder with speed and power, and like Bonds, he posted a 123 OPS+ over his first three seasons. Unlike Bonds, McCutchen may not be going anywhere through his prime years. It&#8217;ll be interesting to see if the Pirates continue to build around him.</p>
<p>All of this is moot, though, save for the most important fact here: The Pirates play in the NL Central, baseball&#8217;s most dysfunctional division, the Sarajevo of the MLB. It certainly looks to have all the order this year of a post-Soviet kleptocracy. Consider: The Cardinals and Brewers have gone forward without  <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/pujolal01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Albert Pujols</a></strong> and <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/f/fieldpr01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Prince Fielder</a></strong>, respectively. The Reds have much of a team in tact that won 91 games in 2010, but never underestimate Dusty Baker&#8217;s potential to create chaos. And as for the Cubs and the Astros, they might not even have a winning season in Triple-A.</p>
<p>So mark my words, good things should be happening in Pittsburgh this year, and for what&#8217;s it worth, at least one positive already has occurred. The Pirates kicked their season off taking two of three at home against the Phillies.</p>
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		<title>Washington Nationals: Not buying the hype</title>
		<link>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/04/04/washington-nationals-not-buying-the-hype/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/04/04/washington-nationals-not-buying-the-hype/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2012 17:21:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Graham Womack</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/?p=1864</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A couple of years ago, Sports Illustrated ran a preseason story hyping the Seattle Mariners on the strength of the defensive metric, Ultimate Zone Rating. I remember reading the article and wondering if I was behind the times, especially since I&#8217;d never heard of UZR (and truth be told, I still don&#8217;t really understand fielding stats.) [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A couple of years ago, <a href="http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/vault/article/magazine/MAG1166492/index.htm" target="_blank"><em>Sports Illustrated </em>ran a preseason story hyping the Seattle Mariners</a> on the strength of the defensive metric, Ultimate Zone Rating. I remember reading the article and wondering if I was behind the times, especially since I&#8217;d never heard of UZR (and truth be told, I still don&#8217;t really understand fielding stats.) The piece seemed a little odd since the Mariners didn&#8217;t look to have much offense or many big names, but I gave<em> SI</em> the benefit the doubt because, well, it&#8217;s <em>SI.</em> From there, the Mariners proceeded to go 61-101 and score 513 runs, the kind of numbers Gold Glove fielders and Cy Young hurlers curse silently. Heck, even the Hitless Wonder 1906 Chicago White Sox scored 570 runs.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/nats2.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1882" title="nats2" src="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/nats2.jpg" alt="" width="350" height="200" /></a></p>
<p>This year&#8217;s version of the 2010 Mariners might  be the <strong>Washington Nationals</strong>. All winter, I&#8217;ve heard writers saying this will be the year the Nationals break through. They point to Washington&#8217;s young talent, to splashy pickups like <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/gonzagi01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Gio Gonzalez</a></strong> and <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/j/jacksed01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Edwin Jackson</a></strong>. They say that <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/werthja01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Jayson Werth</a></strong> will bounce back after a disappointing first year in town, they hint at the possibilities if <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/strasst01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Stephen Strasburg</a></strong> and <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/z/zimmejo02.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Jordan Zimmermann</a></strong> can stay healthy, if super prospect <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;id=harper002bry" target="_blank">Bryce Harper</a></strong> can get a full year in the majors. Manager Davey Johnson has called for his firing if Washington misses the playoffs, and <a href="http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2012/baseball/mlb/04/02/expert.picks.2012/index.html?sct=mlb_t11_a1" target="_blank">on Monday</a>, two SI.com writers predicted the Nationals would nab a wild card spot.</p>
<p>Suffice it to say, I&#8217;m not buying the hype. In fact, I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised if the Nationals finish below .500 and end the season with a different manager. As a member of the Society for American Baseball Research and a blogger, I try to embrace sabermetrics and new ideas in baseball, but this is one time I&#8217;m not ashamed to fall back on my traditionalist roots. And by various traditional measures, the coming season doesn&#8217;t bode well for the Nationals.</p>
<p>Where do I see Washington running into trouble? Let&#8217;s start with the Nationals&#8217; division, one of the toughest in baseball. If Washington was in the National League Central rather than the NL East, I&#8217;d have no problem predicting good things for them. I&#8217;ve spent a lot of the winter doing as much for the Pittsburgh Pirates, with their division in a state of flux and looking to be a crap shoot. Like the Nationals, the Pirates are young and offensively-challenged. Put them in the NL East, and I&#8217;d count on them to lose 90 games. It&#8217;s simply too tough to contend, what with the Phillies&#8217; window of opportunity still open, the Braves retooled, and Miami Marlins management suddenly doing its best to end the recession.</p>
<p>From there, I look down the Nationals roster and see mostly a collection of young ballplayers and second-rate veterans, no batter besides <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/player_search.cgi?results=zimmery01,zimmer003rya,zimmer001rya&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Ryan Zimmerman</a></strong> striking much fear and Zimmerman himself coming off an injury-shortened, 101-game season. I see several players that might shine if things go well, from Gonzalez to Strasburg to Werth, though it seems they could just as easily struggle mightily in 2012. Mostly, I see a club that looks hard-pressed to improve on the 624 runs it scored in 2011, and if there&#8217;s one thing I know, it&#8217;s that scoring a lot of runs and having a positive run differential are a one-two punch for success in baseball. The Nationals did neither of these things last year and have applied no sure remedy for this year.</p>
<p>Could I be wrong? Of course, and it&#8217;d be nice to see the Nationals thrive. They&#8217;re using a model similar to how the Braves became a force 20 years ago, assembling a slew of solid young pieces, and I believe it&#8217;s a matter of when, not if the Nationals become relevant again. I just doubt it will be this year. The 2010 Mariners taught me as much.</p>
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		<title>How the Giants can get rid of Barry Zito</title>
		<link>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/03/28/how-the-giants-can-get-rid-of-barry-zito/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/03/28/how-the-giants-can-get-rid-of-barry-zito/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Mar 2012 15:29:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Graham Womack</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/?p=1737</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On the following statement, though, I have little doubt: The Giants have finally reached a point where they can rid themselves of Barry Zito.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the interest of full disclosure, I&#8217;ll start off this post by saying I&#8217;ve been a San Francisco Giants fan since childhood. And initially when the Giants signed Barry Zito in December 2006, I was excited. It&#8217;s been a long time since then&#8211; five seasons and a 43-61 record with a 4.55 ERA, to be precise&#8211; but yes, when the Giants splurged $126 million over seven years on the former American League Cy Young winner, I figured it was the bold move they needed to be relevant again.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/BarryZito.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1752" title="BarryZito" src="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/BarryZito.jpg" alt="" width="350" height="200" /></a></p>
<p>Boy, was I wrong, like the time I said the Giants should trade a young Tim Lincecum for then-Toronto Blue Jays outfielder Alex Rios (because, hey, the Giants needed and still need offense.) If there&#8217;s one thing I&#8217;ve learned, it&#8217;s that I&#8217;m often gloriously wrong. On the following statement, though, I have little doubt: The Giants have finally reached a point where they can rid themselves of Barry Zito.</p>
<p>The seven years on Zito&#8217;s contract couldn&#8217;t have seemed like a bleaker eternity if Dostoevsky had included them in an ESPN-centric edition of <em>Crime &amp; Punishment</em>, but San Francisco is finally nearing the light at the end of the tunnel. Just $46 million remains to be paid for Zito between $19 million due this season, $20 million in 2013, and a $7 million buyout for 2014. That&#8217;s cringe-worthy, but it&#8217;s not unmovable.</p>
<p>The Giants have options. They can keep trying Zito as a sometimes starter and long reliever, hoping perhaps that he&#8217;ll improve on his 1.407 WHIP or cumulative 3.8 WAR during his time in San Francisco. They can consign him to Triple-A, swallowing their mistake as the New York Yankees have done with Kei Igawa. Or they can go with their third and best option: They can move him. If the Yankees could recently pawn off A.J. Burnett, it doesn&#8217;t seem inconceivable that the Giants could do likewise with Zito.</p>
<p>Here are three ways the Giants could trade Barry Zito:</p>
<ol>
<li>Eat $35-40 million of the remaining dollars on Zito&#8217;s contract and send him somewhere like the Baltimore Orioles. At this point, the $46 million is a sunk cost for the Giants, and if they can recoup even a fraction of that, it&#8217;d be something. Even getting a few bucks for Zito and not having him commanding a roster spot for San Francisco is good enough for me.</li>
<li>Use Zito as leverage for giving the Oakland Athletics territorial rights to San Jose. Fellow baseball writer Wendy Thurm tweeted this idea Monday, and while it seems too fantastical to happen, just imagine: The Giants get a good prospect, one of the A&#8217;s extra outfielders perhaps, and they rid themselves of Zito; in return, the A&#8217;s get an expedited hold of one of America&#8217;s best markets for corporate sponsorship, the Silicon Valley.</li>
<li>The Giants take back a bad contract in return. Perhaps Zito and, say, Vernon Wells would each benefit from a change of scenery.</li>
</ol>
<p>Honestly, if I&#8217;m Brian Sabean, I start thinking more and more in the months to come about simply giving Zito his walking papers. It worked for Aaron Rowand and Miguel Tejada, and even if it means the Giants may eventually be spending more having guys not play for their teams than some teams do on their entire payrolls, it&#8217;d still be worth it to me.</p>
<p>_______________</p>
<p><em>Graham Womack is the founder and editor of <a href="http://baseballpastandpresent.com/" target="_blank">Baseball: Past and Present</a> and can be found here every Wednesday. Follow him on Twitter @grahamdude.</em></p>
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		<title>An increasing trend in baseball: 40 steals, 100 strikeouts</title>
		<link>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/03/21/an-increasing-trend-in-baseball-40-steals-100-strikeouts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/03/21/an-increasing-trend-in-baseball-40-steals-100-strikeouts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2012 12:00:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Graham Womack</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/?p=1612</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Ninety players in baseball history have recorded at least 40 steals and 100 strikeouts in a season, all but two having done so since 1960.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For a speedy center fielder, Cameron Maybin must have been swinging for the fences in 2011. Besides stealing 40 bases last year, more than he&#8217;d swiped in his four previous seasons combined, the Padres outfielder struck out 125 times, also a career-high. It wasn&#8217;t the greatest of feats for Maybin, a long-heralded prospect and a centerpiece of the Tigers-Marlins Miguel Cabrera trade in December 2007 who&#8217;s been known more since then as something of a baseball vagabond.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/CameronMaybin.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1621" src="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/CameronMaybin.jpg" alt="" width="350" height="200" /></a></p>
<p>Thing is, Maybin&#8217;s far from alone in the amount that he struck out and stole bases last year.</p>
<p>Ninety players in baseball history have recorded at least 40 steals and 100 strikeouts in a season, all but two having done so since 1960. Numbers have spiked in recent years, with 30 men accomplishing the feat since 2000 including five each of the past two seasons, a record.</p>
<p>A full list of the men with at least 40 steals and 100 strikeouts in 2010 and 2011 is as follows, courtesy of the Play Index from Baseball-Reference.com:</p>
<div>
<div>
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<thead>
<tr>
<th align="center">Rk</th>
<th align="left">Player</th>
<th align="center">HR</th>
<th align="center">SB</th>
<th align="center">SO</th>
<th align="left">Yr</th>
<th align="center">Tm</th>
<th align="center"></th>
<th align="center">PA</th>
<th align="center">AB</th>
<th align="center">R</th>
<th align="center">H</th>
<th align="center">2B</th>
<th align="center">3B</th>
<th align="center">RBI</th>
<th align="center">BB</th>
<th align="center">CS</th>
<th align="center">BA</th>
<th align="center">OBP</th>
<th align="center">SLG</th>
<th align="center">OPS</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/k/kempma01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">Matt Kemp</a></td>
<td align="right"><strong>39</strong></td>
<td align="right">40</td>
<td align="right">159</td>
<td align="left">2011</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/LAD/2011.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">LAD</a></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right">689</td>
<td align="right">602</td>
<td align="right"><strong>115</strong></td>
<td align="right">195</td>
<td align="right">33</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right"><strong>126</strong></td>
<td align="right">74</td>
<td align="right">11</td>
<td align="right">.324</td>
<td align="right">.399</td>
<td align="right">.586</td>
<td align="right">.986</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/stubbdr01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">Drew Stubbs</a></td>
<td align="right">15</td>
<td align="right">40</td>
<td align="right"><strong>205</strong></td>
<td align="left">2011</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/CIN/2011.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">CIN</a></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right">681</td>
<td align="right">604</td>
<td align="right">92</td>
<td align="right">147</td>
<td align="right">22</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="right">44</td>
<td align="right">63</td>
<td align="right">10</td>
<td align="right">.243</td>
<td align="right">.321</td>
<td align="right">.364</td>
<td align="right">.686</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/maybica01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">Cameron Maybin</a></td>
<td align="right">9</td>
<td align="right">40</td>
<td align="right">125</td>
<td align="left">2011</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/SDP/2011.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">SDP</a></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right">568</td>
<td align="right">516</td>
<td align="right">82</td>
<td align="right">136</td>
<td align="right">24</td>
<td align="right">8</td>
<td align="right">40</td>
<td align="right">44</td>
<td align="right">8</td>
<td align="right">.264</td>
<td align="right">.323</td>
<td align="right">.393</td>
<td align="right">.716</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/bonifem01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">Emilio Bonifacio</a></td>
<td align="right">5</td>
<td align="right">40</td>
<td align="right">129</td>
<td align="left">2011</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/FLA/2011.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">FLA</a></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right">641</td>
<td align="right">565</td>
<td align="right">78</td>
<td align="right">167</td>
<td align="right">26</td>
<td align="right">7</td>
<td align="right">36</td>
<td align="right">59</td>
<td align="right">11</td>
<td align="right">.296</td>
<td align="right">.360</td>
<td align="right">.393</td>
<td align="right">.753</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">5</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/bournmi01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">Michael Bourn</a></td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right"><strong>61</strong></td>
<td align="right">140</td>
<td align="left">2011</td>
<td align="left">TOT</td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"><strong>722</strong></td>
<td align="right">656</td>
<td align="right">94</td>
<td align="right">193</td>
<td align="right">34</td>
<td align="right">10</td>
<td align="right">50</td>
<td align="right">53</td>
<td align="right"><strong>14</strong></td>
<td align="right">.294</td>
<td align="right">.349</td>
<td align="right">.386</td>
<td align="right">.734</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">6</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/crawfca02.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">Carl Crawford</a></td>
<td align="right">19</td>
<td align="right">47</td>
<td align="right">104</td>
<td align="left">2010</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/TBR/2010.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">TBR</a></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right">663</td>
<td align="right">600</td>
<td align="right">110</td>
<td align="right">184</td>
<td align="right">30</td>
<td align="right"><strong>13</strong></td>
<td align="right">90</td>
<td align="right">46</td>
<td align="right">10</td>
<td align="right">.307</td>
<td align="right">.356</td>
<td align="right">.495</td>
<td align="right">.851</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">7</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/u/uptonbj01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">B.J. Upton</a></td>
<td align="right">18</td>
<td align="right">42</td>
<td align="right">164</td>
<td align="left">2010</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/TBR/2010.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">TBR</a></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right">610</td>
<td align="right">536</td>
<td align="right">89</td>
<td align="right">127</td>
<td align="right">38</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right">62</td>
<td align="right">67</td>
<td align="right">9</td>
<td align="right">.237</td>
<td align="right">.322</td>
<td align="right">.424</td>
<td align="right">.745</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">8</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/gardnbr01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">Brett Gardner</a></td>
<td align="right">5</td>
<td align="right">47</td>
<td align="right">101</td>
<td align="left">2010</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/NYY/2010.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">NYY</a></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right">569</td>
<td align="right">477</td>
<td align="right">97</td>
<td align="right">132</td>
<td align="right">20</td>
<td align="right">7</td>
<td align="right">47</td>
<td align="right">79</td>
<td align="right">9</td>
<td align="right">.277</td>
<td align="right">.383</td>
<td align="right">.379</td>
<td align="right">.762</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">9</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/bournmi01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">Michael Bourn</a></td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right"><strong>52</strong></td>
<td align="right">109</td>
<td align="left">2010</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/HOU/2010.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">HOU</a></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right">605</td>
<td align="right">535</td>
<td align="right">84</td>
<td align="right">142</td>
<td align="right">25</td>
<td align="right">6</td>
<td align="right">38</td>
<td align="right">59</td>
<td align="right">12</td>
<td align="right">.265</td>
<td align="right">.341</td>
<td align="right">.346</td>
<td align="right">.686</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right">10</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/f/figgich01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">Chone Figgins</a></td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">42</td>
<td align="right">114</td>
<td align="left">2010</td>
<td align="left"><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/SEA/2010.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=Share&amp;utm_campaign=ShareTool">SEA</a></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right">702</td>
<td align="right">602</td>
<td align="right">62</td>
<td align="right">156</td>
<td align="right">21</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">35</td>
<td align="right">74</td>
<td align="right">15</td>
<td align="right">.259</td>
<td align="right">.340</td>
<td align="right">.306</td>
<td align="right">.646</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot></tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p><span></span><br />
What&#8217;s behind the surge?</p>
<p>I put the word out on Twitter on Tuesday and got a variety of responses. My friend @dianagram reminded me that, in general, strikeouts are up in baseball; teams whiffed 1,150 times apiece on average in 2011, in contrast to the MLB average of 801 strikeouts in 1960. Heck, it was 496 per team in 1930. There&#8217;s talk of the strikeout being less destructive, which sounds backwards to me. I miss the days of Joe DiMaggio and Stan Musial striking out roughly five percent of their at-bats. Tony Gwynn did this in recent years, but he was a throwback.</p>
<p>Other followers in my Twitter feed pointed to an increased use of specialized relievers with high strikeout totals, less emphasis on contact hitting, and more emphasis on power. Josh Wilker, author of <em><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Cardboard-Gods-Josh-Wilker/dp/B005FOENBS/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1332302264&amp;sr=8-1" target="_blank">Cardboard Gods</a>, </em>replied to me, &#8220;Fewer slap-hitting lead-off types nowadays? GMs avoid the ol&#8217; Omar Moreno style of contact &#8216;hitting,&#8217; maybe.&#8221; There were other ideas as well, with my friend @figurefilbert suggesting that expansion has diluted talent levels, and @MikeGianella countering that the US population has nearly doubled since 1960. It&#8217;s part of a broader question about if baseball&#8217;s gotten better or worse over the years, a question I couldn&#8217;t answer in one post.</p>
<p>Whatever the case, the trend of high strikeout and stolen base totals doesn&#8217;t seem to be going anywhere. This comes even with Bill James and other baseball researchers showing in recent years that the caught stealing rate can be no more than 15 percent before base stealing efforts become counterproductive. Old habits die hard, I guess. That being, I would doubt that teams are all that concerned. After all, the Padres just signed the soon-to-be 25-year-old Maybin to a five-year, $25 million extension two weeks ago.</p>
</div>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Where to now, Vladimir Guerrero?</title>
		<link>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/03/14/where-to-now-vladimir-guerrero/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/03/14/where-to-now-vladimir-guerrero/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Mar 2012 12:00:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Graham Womack</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Vladimir Guerrero]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/?p=1427</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Vladimir Guerrero hit .290 last season and he can't find a job? Hard to believe.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve been spending a fair amount of time lately on Twitter, and the other day, @uniformcritic had an interesting tweet. To any baseball history fan unfamiliar with @uniformcritic, he&#8217;s worth a follow, generally providing vintage baseball photos and sometimes-rare film. On Sunday, though, he departed from form to tweet:</p>
<!-- tweet id : 178883082122838016 --><style type='text/css'>#bbpBox_178883082122838016 a { text-decoration:none; color:#0084B4; }#bbpBox_178883082122838016 a:hover { text-decoration:underline; }</style><div id='bbpBox_178883082122838016' class='bbpBox' style='padding:20px; margin:5px 0; background-color:#C0DEED; background-image:url(http://a0.twimg.com/profile_background_images/441448716/PoloGrounds1962__1_.jpg); background-repeat:no-repeat'><div style='background:#fff; padding:10px; margin:0; min-height:48px; color:#333333; -moz-border-radius:5px; -webkit-border-radius:5px;'><span style='width:100%; font-size:18px; line-height:22px;'>Vladimir Guerrero hit .290 last season and he can't find a job?  Hard to believe.</span><div class='bbp-actions' style='font-size:12px; width:100%; padding:5px 0; margin:0 0 10px 0; border-bottom:1px solid #e6e6e6;'><img align='middle' src='http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/plugins/twitter-blackbird-pie//images/bird.png' /><a title='tweeted on March 11, 2012 10:40 am' href='http://twitter.com/#!/uniformcritic/status/178883082122838016' target='_blank'>March 11, 2012 10:40 am</a> via web<a href='https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?in_reply_to=178883082122838016' class='bbp-action bbp-reply-action' title='Reply'><span><em style='margin-left: 1em;'></em><strong>Reply</strong></span></a><a href='https://twitter.com/intent/retweet?tweet_id=178883082122838016' class='bbp-action bbp-retweet-action' title='Retweet'><span><em style='margin-left: 1em;'></em><strong>Retweet</strong></span></a><a href='https://twitter.com/intent/favorite?tweet_id=178883082122838016' class='bbp-action bbp-favorite-action' title='Favorite'><span><em style='margin-left: 1em;'></em><strong>Favorite</strong></span></a></div><div style='float:left; padding:0; margin:0'><a href='http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=uniformcritic'><img style='width:48px; height:48px; padding-right:7px; border:none; background:none; margin:0' src='http://a0.twimg.com/profile_images/1812263811/tenance_normal.jpg' /></a></div><div style='float:left; padding:0; margin:0'><a style='font-weight:bold' href='http://twitter.com/intent/user?screen_name=uniformcritic'>@uniformcritic</a><div style='margin:0; padding-top:2px'>Stirrups Now!</div></div><div style='clear:both'></div></div></div><!-- end of tweet -->
<p><a href="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/VladGuerrero.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-1431 alignnone" title="VladGuerrero" src="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/VladGuerrero.jpg" alt="" width="350" height="200" /></a></p>
<p>I have mixed feelings. Sure, Guerrero hit .290 last season. But he did it against an OPS+ of 101 and an aging-Joe-Carter-esque WAR of 0.1. Even by traditional numbers, Guerrero&#8217;s 2011 campaign with the Baltimore Orioles was nothing special. In nearly 600 plate appearances, Guerrero had 13 home runs and 63 RBI, and for hitting .290, his 17 walks made for an anemic .317 on-base percentage.</p>
<p>Slow-footed outfielders approaching 40 have been down the road Guerrero&#8217;s on before, and it generally doesn&#8217;t get any better. I&#8217;m reminded of Joe Carter, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/sosasa01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Sammy Sosa</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/cansejo01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Jose Canseco</a></strong>, and so many others. So the question is: Where to now, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/guerrvl01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Vladimir Guerrero</a></strong>?</p>
<p>I see a few options for the current free agent and former all-world right fielder who in his prime was good for at least 30 home runs, 30 stolen bases, and an average somewhere around .330:</p>
<ol>
<li><strong>Guerrero can retire:</strong> At 37, with 449 home runs, a .318 lifetime batting, and nine All Star appearances, there is no shame in this. According to Baseball-Reference.com, Guerrero&#8217;s already banked $125 million in his career. In his prime, he was one of the best in baseball. Unless steroid rumors surface, he&#8217;ll probably have an eventual, deserved spot in Cooperstown.</li>
<li><strong>Guerrero can accept a part-time role on a contender:</strong> This is easier said than done. With limited defensive abilities and just 20 games in the field since 2009, Guerrero might not make even a passable backup outfielder. He&#8217;s no pinch runner, and as a right-handed batter, he isn&#8217;t a great pinch hitting option, either. But he might fit somewhere on a team like the Yankees, who are glutted with a veritable senior center of options at designated hitter but play in a ballpark Guerrero is hitting .375 in, thus far.</li>
<li><strong>Guerrero can find a second-tier team willing to start him: </strong>Again, easier said than done. Guerrero went this route for 2011 and it equaled his one-and-done campaign with Baltimore. I don&#8217;t know what other American League team has an opening. The Royals have <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/butlebi03.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Billy Butler</a></strong> at designated hitter. The Mariners have <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/player_search.cgi?results=monteje01,monter002jes&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Jesus Montero</a></strong>. The Athletics have what looks to be market corner on mediocre outfielders. Guerrero could try to find a weak-hitting National League like the Pirates or Astros willing to take a flyer on his glove, but that&#8217;s nothing to postpone retirement over.</li>
<li><strong>Guerrero can head to the independent or international circuits: </strong>The Atlantic League can offer Guerrero a chance for gaudy numbers. It&#8217;s where <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/e/evereca01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Carl Everett</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/a/alfoned01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Edgardo Alfonzo</a></strong> and so many others wound up in their mid-3os after their time in the show was up. Japan might be able to offer Guerrero more money, if that&#8217;s what he&#8217;s after at this point.</li>
</ol>
<p>So those are Guerrero&#8217;s options as I see them, none of the possibilities particularly great. But it&#8217;s still a better end run in baseball than that of Sosa, Canseco, and so many others of Guerrero&#8217;s generation. Coming on the heels of the Steroid Era, that has to be good for something.</p>
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		<title>Why the A&#8217;s should trade for Ichiro Suzuki</title>
		<link>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/02/22/why-the-as-should-trade-for-ichiro-suzuki/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/02/22/why-the-as-should-trade-for-ichiro-suzuki/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Feb 2012 14:00:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Graham Womack</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MLB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[31 Million]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American League West]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Billy Beane]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Future Hall]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Game Suspension]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold Glove]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ichiro Suzuki]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ken Griffey Jr]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lifetime Average]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Little Hope]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Logjam]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Manny Ramirez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oakland Coliseum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Option One]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Pittsburgh Pirates]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Seattle Mariners]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Last year, Ichiro Suzuki had his worst season. If I'm Jack Zduriencik, I call the Athletics and swing a deal.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last year, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/suzukic01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Ichiro Suzuki</a></strong> had his worst season. The Seattle Mariners right fielder and future Hall of Famer hit .272, 54 points below his lifetime average. He also had an OPS+ of 84 and -0.4 WAR and failed to win a Gold Glove or top 200 hits for the first time in his career, the ageless wonder finally starting to look like a player pushing 40. The Mariners have been through this before with <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/griffke02.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Ken Griffey</a></strong> Jr., and if past experience holds, this only gets worse for Seattle.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/IchiroSuzuki.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-814" title="IchiroSuzuki" src="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/IchiroSuzuki.jpg" alt="" width="350" height="200" /></a></p>
<p>There are two options for the Mariners. They can hold onto Ichiro and keep paying him $17 million a season until the franchise icon retires&#8211; in fact, there&#8217;s talk of him hitting third for Seattle this year. But there&#8217;s a better option, one I wouldn&#8217;t hesitate on if I was the Mariners general manager. If I&#8217;m Jack Zduriencik, I call the Athletics and swing a deal.</p>
<p>Sounds impossible and illogical for Oakland, I&#8217;m sure, a team seemingly in a holding pattern while it awaits approval to move to San Jose. The A&#8217;s have a projected $38 million budget for Opening Day, little hope of contending with the Rangers and Angels this year in the American League West, and as a kicker, no less than seven outfielders that could see playing time. Then there&#8217;s <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/ramirma02.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Manny Ramirez</a></strong> who could join the A&#8217;s lineup as a 40-year-old designated hitter in late May after he serves a 50-game suspension for his second positive test for performance enhancing drugs. There&#8217;s a definite logjam in Oakland, but nothing&#8217;s set in stone, either. Nothing in Oakland ever is, really, with Billy Beane baseball&#8217;s version of that neighbor who manages to hold a garage sale every weekend.</p>
<p>Certainly, the A&#8217;s would need to clear roster space and make the dollars work in a trade for Ichiro, perhaps cribbing off the deal the Pittsburgh Pirates recently pulled to get <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/burnea.01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">A.J. Burnett</a></strong> and have the Yankees pay roughly 60 percent of the $31 million he&#8217;s owed. But there&#8217;s incentive for the A&#8217;s here. In the offensive wasteland that is Oakland Coliseum, Ichiro owns a .364 lifetime batting average in 418 at-bats, compared to .326 at Safeco Field in Seattle. Even last year in the midst of epic struggles, Ichiro hit .351 in Oakland while batting just .261 at home. Playing a full season with the A&#8217;s, Ichiro could be a .300 hitter for a team that&#8217;s had just two the past six years.</p>
<p>Then there are the fan implications. I attended an early season game in Oakland last year on Japanese Heritage Day (which happened to come against the Mariners, coincidentally.) The amount of Asian fans in the stands there to cheer A&#8217;s designated hitter <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/matsuhi01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Hideki Matsui</a></strong> was stark. Matsui was on and off with his play in his only year in Oakland, yet another left-handed power hitter not ideally suited for the vast confines of the Coliseum, and while it doesn&#8217;t make sense to bring him back, the A&#8217;s could use another drawing card. Enter Ichiro having a resurgent, All Star season. Depending on how much of Ichiro&#8217;s contract the Mariners are willing to eat for the right assortment of prospects, the A&#8217;s might even turn a profit in this arrangement.</p>
<p>Oakland could get a boost in the standings as well, perhaps enough to hang as a dark horse wild card contender. Even now, the team has more depth and talent than may be available at quick glance, with <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/a/anderbr04.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Brett Anderson</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/bradeda01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Dallas Braden</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/mccarbr01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Brandon McCarthy</a></strong> potential keys to an experienced, capable starting rotation, and <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/pennicl01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Cliff Pennington</a></strong> and Jemille Weeks the core of perhaps the most underrated infield in baseball. Were Ichiro to start in right field, it doesn&#8217;t seem unreasonable to think that he, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/crispco01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Coco Crisp</a></strong>, and Yoenis Cespedes might comprise one of the best outfields in the majors, at least defensively.</p>
<p>The question may arise why Seattle would be willing to part with Ichiro, potentially the first Hall of Famer to spend his entire career with the Mariners. Simply, it comes down to dollars and the logic, or lack thereof, of paying $17 million to a player who&#8217;s sub-replacement level at this point playing in Seattle. Everyone wins in this arrangement. The Mariners get something for a player they&#8217;d otherwise get nothing for, the A&#8217;s get a boost, and for Ichiro, there could be new life in Oakland. Left unsaid in all of this is that playing for the A&#8217;s, the man currently at 2,428 hits might have a shot at 3,000.</p>
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		<title>Why Barry Bonds Should Play In 2012</title>
		<link>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/02/08/why-barry-bonds-should-play-in-2012/</link>
		<comments>http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/2012/02/08/why-barry-bonds-should-play-in-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Feb 2012 12:00:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Graham Womack</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MLB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alan Trammell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alex Rodriguez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barry Bonds]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Edgar Martinez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eligible Candidates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hall Of Fame]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jack Morris]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Bagwell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lee Smith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Mcgwire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rafael Palmeiro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roger Clemens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sammy Sosa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San Francisco Giants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Raines]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/?p=387</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The clock is ticking for the baseball Hall of Fame, about 11 months remaining now before the storm.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The clock is ticking for the baseball Hall of Fame, about 11 months remaining now before the storm. The deepest class of players in decades will become eligible for Cooperstown, and this could get ugly. It won&#8217;t be pretty for newly-eligible candidates like <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/bondsba01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Barry Bonds</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/clemero02.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Roger Clemens</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/sosasa01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Sammy Sosa</a></strong>, all connected to steroids, the rally killer among the electorate Baseball Writers Association of America. And it doesn&#8217;t bode well, either, for holdovers like <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/player_search.cgi?results=martin002edg,martin003edg&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Edgar Martinez</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/raineti02.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Tim Raines</a></strong>, and Alan Trammell whose support could slip as more and more non-elected players glut the ballot.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/BarryBonds.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-395" title="BarryBonds" src="http://www.fullspectrumbaseball.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/BarryBonds.jpg" alt="" width="350" height="200" /></a></p>
<p>At some point, a known steroid user will be inducted by the writers into the Hall of Fame, this much I&#8217;m reasonably sure. It hasn&#8217;t happened so far while the BBWAA has held the line with candidates like Mark McGwire and Rafael Palmeiro, but eventually, it will simply be too ludicrous for the writers to induct Jack Morris or Lee Smith or Barry Larkin and not Bonds or Clemens or <strong><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/rodrial01.shtml?utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_campaign=Linker" target="_blank">Alex Rodriguez</a></strong>. How long it will take, I&#8217;m not sure, as I don&#8217;t expect Bonds, Clemens, or Rodriguez to be first-ballot inductees. But support should build at least incrementally for any one of these candidates. And if I&#8217;m Barry Bonds, that is precisely why I let Clemens or someone else be the man for that fight. If I&#8217;m Barry Bonds, I find a way to play this season and delay my Hall of Fame eligibility for another five years.</p>
<p>This may sound crazy, but hear me out. Bonds never retired, and under Hall of Fame voting rules, if he so much as gets in a ceremonial final game in uniform with the San Francisco Giants this year, he won&#8217;t be eligible for Cooperstown until 2018. Five years is a lot of time with the current Hall of Fame debate. The climate may seem toxic now among voters, but the longer Clemens or McGwire or Jeff Bagwell serve as cannon fodder for moralistic writers, the greater the chance of a backlash occurring with fans. In five years, Bonds could face a much different landscape and at the very least debut with a higher percentage of the vote. It&#8217;s been shown that a player who receives at least 40 percent of the vote early on has good odds of making Cooperstown, and Bonds has a better chance of hitting those numbers out of the gate the longer he can delay his bid.</p>
<p>He wouldn&#8217;t just have to go the ceremonial game route, either. At 47, Bonds might still be able to play. This is the time of year where ballplayers announce they&#8217;re in the best shape of their lives, and <a href="http://ll-media.tmz.com/2011/08/20/0820-barry-bonds-flynet-credit.jpg" target="_blank">pictures from August show Bonds trim from cycling</a>. Sure, he&#8217;d need a DH or pinch-hitting role on a bottom-feeder American League club like the Kansas City Royals or Baltimore Orioles, as his defense was nothing pretty even five years ago. And he&#8217;d probably also need an attitude change, something at least beyond the aloof arrogance that marked much of his career, and a willingness to play for a league-minimum salary. It&#8217;s no slam dunk, certainly.</p>
<p>But if the intangibles could be sorted out, just imagine. Imagine if Bonds was even close to the 1.045 OPS he managed at 42 in his last season. Imagine if he still had that tremendous eye at the plate, perhaps the best in baseball history besides Ted Williams. Imagine if he still had anything close to that sweet left-handed swing that marked so much of his career. My guess is Bonds might still be good for a .400 on-base percentage and 20 home runs, perhaps parlaying decent numbers and an improved attitude into the coaching gig that&#8217;s eluded him. It&#8217;s a potential coup for some team. And Bonds could help himself as well. With the cataclysmic legal problems of the past several years of his life finally behind him, this is the time for him to do it.</p>
<p>_______________</p>
<p><em>Graham Womack is founder and editor of <a href="http://baseballpastandpresent.com/" target="_blank">Baseball: Past and Present</a>. Email him at thewomack@gmail.com or follow him on Twitter @grahamdude.</em></p>
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