The Hump Day Look See – The Friday Edition!

Posted on 08 June 2012 by J. Ellet Lambie

The Hump Day Look See is your weekly Wednesday foray into all things fantasy baseball. Sneaky stat lines, rapid risers, trends and tricks to help maximize your roster are all celebrated here. Equal parts analysis and common sense with a splash of humor, served fresh every Wednesday morning right here on Full Spectrum Baseball.

Well kids, I’m a little tardy this week, but we’re back to get you through your fantasy weekend with the adds & drops and diamonds in the rough. As with the actual baseball season, it’s reaching the point where it isn’t early anymore, and you need to sure up your lineups and rotations for the long haul.

We’ve seen enough to have a better feel for who’s real, and who isn’t. Sure, the odd mid-season star will emerge, but odds are he’s already made some noise at one point. The flashes in the pan have mostly sizzled out, the Mike Trout‘s and Bryce Harper‘s of the world are on big league rosters and playing everyday. So who’s movin and groovin the last two weeks? Glad you asked.

Top 10 Added Hitters in ESPN Standard Leagues – Last 14 Days:

Player % Add/Drop % owned Notes
Dexter Fowler COL – OF +62 97.8 Loads of talent, starting to materialize. Power has been above projections. You likely missed your window, but if he’s out there, make him yours.
Justin Smoak SEA – 1B +47.1 53.6 5 HR, 14 RBI in in his last 15. Smoakamotive is picking up steam in a big way. Still available in nearly 1/2 of leagues.
Gordon Beckham +40.9 53.4 On a 10 game hitting streak, 16-47 with 3 HR in that span. Tread lightly here, Beckham isn’t known for long-term consistency.
Carlos Quentin SD – OF +35 96.5 .481 with 5 bombs in his last 15. He’s a serious trade candidate next month, watch where he lands. IF he stays healthy, he’ll be key.
Quintin Berry DET – OF +29.8 33.5 27 yr old career Minor Leaguer found work with Austin Jackson hurt, has played his way into a job elsewhere in the outfield even after AJAX comes back.
Michael Brantley CLE – OF +28.5 78.5 #10 last week, 16 hits, 14 RBI and 3 steals in his last 15 games. He has the tools, won’t be under the radar much longer.
Paul Goldschmidt ARI – 1B +26.6 61.7 Kid has some serious power, 5 HR in his last 15 including a 481 ft bomb. Keep an eye on his platoon situation.
Allen Craig STL – OF/1B +26.1 93.8 Picked up where he left off upon returning from the DL. Dual eligibility and everyday playing time make him the real deal.
Jared Saltalamacchia BOS – C +23.1 49 Still sitting against lefties, still mashing against righties. .294 with 4 HR, 8 RBI in last 15.
Marco Scutaro COL – SS/2B +17.9 68.7 Steady and versatile across 5 categories with dual eligibility, 3 of his 6 steals in his last 15 games.

 

And the Yang of failure, also known as the 10 most dropped:

 

Andy Dirks DET – OF (DL) -70.1 19.4 Hit the DL at the worst possible time, but expected to return 6/15 after minimum stay. Kid can hit, and will.
Nick Markakis BAL – OF (DL) -34.5 65.5 Still 2-3 weeks away from returning (wrist surgery), keep him on your watch list. A strong 2nd half very likely in the cards.
Raul Ibanez NYY – OF/DH -27.7 58.2 .229, 0 HR, 3 RBI in his last 15. He ain’t getting younger, but then again, right field in Yankee stadium ain’t getting shorter. Expect the streakiness to continue.
Yonder Alonso SD – 1B/OF -26.3 19.9 Since his 10 game hitting streak ended 5/28 – .143 (7/49) with 3 RBI. Kid has big talent, but still plays for the Padres, and in Petco.
Carlos Lee HOU – 1B/OF (DL) -13.6 61.4 Eligible to return 6/18, unsure if he will. Should get healthy just in time to be traded.
Alex Avila DET – C (DL) -20.9 62.2 Tight hamstring shut him down, been banged up all year. Expect a minimum stay and a strong bat upon return. Was making solid contact to the gaps before his hiatus.
Brennan Boesch DET – OF -20.2 34.7 Has looked lost lately, 8-49 with 0 HR in his last 15. Might lose his starting job with Quintin Berry emerging.
Elliot Johnson TB – SS -18.8 10.3 Was a high riser, now with 5 hits since May 25th he’s just another middle infielder to shrug your shoulders over. Minimal power, XBH, RBI – you can do better.
Luke Scott TB – DH/OF -18.2 60.2 1 HR in his last 15, and let’s face it – if he’s not hitting bombs and driving in runs, he’s about useless.
Mitch Moreland TEX – 1B/OF -16.2 71 Had 2 hits last night, which doubled his total for the previous 10 games – enough said.

It’s garage sale season, and boy do I love me some bargains! Here’s the equivalent of a $1 alarm clock in this week’s   Five Under 50 - five players owned in less than 50% of ESPN standard leagues that can help your roster right now.

Quintin Berry DET – OF 35.4%: Berry became the first Detroit Tiger EVER to score 11 runs in his first 10 games in the bigs. EVER. I didn’t expect that either. He doesn’t have the pedigree, but he has the wheels and has produced in his injury induced audition. I expect he’ll not only stick with the big club, but in the top of the order in front of Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder. Too bad you don’t record points for defensive gems, or else this kid would be the steal of the century.

Zack Cosart CIN – SS 26.4%: While he’s seen some peaks and valleys, this young man can flat out play. He won’t be straight line consistent, as rookies rarely are, but he provides a versatile set of tools that can enhance your entire 5 x 5. Contact hitter with an eye for the gaps, will swipe his fair share of bags and has some sneaky power. It’s getting warmer in Cincy, and the bandbox is gonna start rocking.

Doug Fister DET – SP 45.5%: He technically can’t help your team right now, as he’s still about a week away from rejoining the team (DL oblique strain). However, he’s out there in more than 1/2 of leagues and has dynamite stuff. He could return to the hill as soon as June 13. Remove his 2 outings impacted by injury and what do you have? 4 quality starts, 19/6 K/BB ratio. Twisted Fister was a beast in the 2nd half last year, I expect more of the same this time around.

Barry Zito SFG – SP 31.0%: I’m as skeptical as you are. I’ve seen him flounder, I’ve made the jokes. But the numbers are what the numbers are. Find me another guy with an ERA under 3.00 and 5 wins through 66 IP owned in less than 1/3 of leagues. The 39/28 K/BB ratio isn’t great, it ain’t even good, but it isn’t terrible. If he continues to move the ball and throw strikes there’s no reason he can’t continue this little renasaince.

Sergio Romo SFG – RP 20%: 3 saves since June 2nd, and it appears he’ll get the lions share of opportunities for now at least. 23 K’s in 16.2 innings pitched with a 0.54 ERA and 0.78 WHIP. Nursing a sublexed knee, but seems to be available tonight and going forward.

J. Ellet Lambie covers Fantasy Baseball and Card Collecting for Full Spectrum Baseball, and opines on the Detroit Tigers for Motor City Bengals. You can follow him on twitter @lembeck451. 

 

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