The Hump Day Look See 5/23/12

Posted on 22 May 2012 by J. Ellet Lambie

The Hump Day Look See is your weekly Wednesday foray into all things fantasy baseball. Sneaky stat lines, rapid risers, trends and tricks to help maximize your roster are all celebrated here. Equal parts analysis and common sense with a splash of humor, served fresh every Wednesday morning right here on Full Spectrum Baseball.

It’s quietly the year of the catcher in fantasy baseball. Among backstops with 100 or more at bats 5 are currently hitting over .300, while 13 have at least 5 home runs and a dozen have at least 20 RBI. Making matters more interesting ~ 3 of the top 4 catchers in the ESPN Player Ratings (and 6 of the top 15) were undrafted on average (260 ADP) in standard 5 x 5 roto leagues. Most interesting, 5 of the top 15 are available in over 50% of standard leagues (Lucroy, Arencibia, Saltalamacchia, Doumit, Ellis).

Detroit's Andy Dirks

The two most feared words in fantasy baseball may very well be disabled list. However, the DL can sometimes serve as a forgotten land from which to pluck future gold, provided you have the roster space. DL candidates create conundrums, with tough drops being made to ensure daily lineups can be filled with healthy options. Impatience is a weakness that may lead your opponents to cut bait on months of production due to a few weeks of unavailability. Make them pay for these mistakes. What do Michael Morse Morse, Yeonis Cespedes, Stephen Drew, Brett Gardner, Allen Craig and Jon Jay have in common? All should return within 2-4 weeks (it’s still May folks) and are available in more than 10% of ESPN standard leagues. Watch the wire, never know what you’ll find.

10 Most Added hitters by % (%owned) over the last 15 days in ESPN leagues

  1. Andy Dirks DET OF +36.9 (93.4)  : “The Neck” is on a tear, playing full time and hitting 2nd
  2. Raul Ibanez NYY OF +34.5 (94.8) :.881 OPS, Hitting lefty in a band box
  3. Elliot Johnson TB SS +30.6 (31.2) : 17 hits in May, but only 3 XBH
  4. Dayan Viciedo +30.1 (30.4) :  DAYAN SMASH!!!!
  5. Ian Desmond WAS SS +29.8 (94.0):  T-3rd in HR (7) 6th in RBI (20) among all SS
  6. Justin Morneau MIN 1B +28.4 (58.2) : Hot off the DL, but for how long?
  7. Yonder Alonso SD OF, 1B +27.1 (43.4) Emerging, multi-position eligible, and available in 56.6 % of leagues
  8. Jonathon Lucroy MIL C +26.3 (44.0) 17 RBI in 15 games should get your attention
  9. Alfonso Soriano CHC OF +25.2 (53.8) Playing on bad knees, occasional power outburst potential
  10. Kyle Seager SEA 3B +23.3 (77.3) More RBI than K’s, 17 XBH this season

10 Most Dropped

  1. Jon Jay STL OF (DL) -53.5 (38.1): Struck down by injury at the worst possible time
  2. Lance Berkman STL 1B, OF  (DL) -28.7 (71.3): Gone for 6-8 weeks, minimum
  3. Allen Craig STL OF (DL) -23.9 (63.6): God hates the Cardinals
  4. Torii Hunter LAA OF -20.7 (75.0): Family issues keeping him away from the Halo’s, your lineup
  5. Pedro Alvarez PIT 3B -19.4 (17.7): 26 hits, .695 OPS, 50 K’s in 127 AB Through Tuesday ….Gross
  6. Chris Davis BAL 1B, 3B -16.8 (49.3): You say Chris Davis, I say Chris Shelton
  7. Adam Lind -14.3 (34.8): Being awful to the point of outright waivers will do that
  8. Gerrardo Perra ARI OF – 14.1 (24.9): Return of Chris Young = playing time vanishing act
  9. Mark Ellis LAD 2B – 14 (8.4): Almost lost his leg, generally not good for a players fantasy value
  10. Todd Helton COL 1B -13.7 (25.0): 12th among all 1B in RBI, but hitting .212 and 38 years old

5 under 50

Five players owned in less than 50% of ESPN standard leagues that can help your team right now.

  1. J.P. Arencibia TOR C 44.2%: His 26 RBI and 18 Runs scored rank 4th and 8th respectively among all catchers. His 7 HR have him tied for 2nd. His Tim Kirkjian doppleganger ability provides no fantasy value, but is good for morale.
  2. Alcides Escobar KC SS 43.3%: You could fill your SS, 2B/SS, IF or UT spots with much worse than a .301 average, 7 steals, 44 hits and 16 runs scored. Chances are you might be already.
  3. Daniel Nava BOS OF 19.4%: A healthy Red Sox outfielder is worth his wait in gold these days. Nava has posted a .343 average with 8 runs and 10 RBI over his last 15 games.
  4. Joe Blanton PHI SP 22.3%: 34 K’s against 6 BB in his last 40 innings pitched have helped him win 3 games in the last month, with a 3.57 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in that span. He’s a solid streaming candidate at worst.
  5. Anthony Bass SD SP, RP 18.2%: Not exactly piling up the wins (2 on the season), but his peripheral numbers are spectacular for a guy available in 4 out of 5 leagues who twirls home starts at PETCO. 51 K’s in 53 IP with a 2.89 ERA should compare quite nicely with his more exalted compatriots.

Your questions and thoughts are welcomed, and encouraged, both here in the comments and on twitter @lembeck451. All stats accurate as of 10 PM EDT 5/22/12. 

1 Comments For This Post

  1. Ryan Says:

    “Almost lost his leg, generally not good for a players fantasy value”

    I would agree with that, lol

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